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Confused about the outlook for US inflation? Wednesday's conflicting news on this front isn't helping. The New York Fed's monthly survey of consumers in October finds that "short-term inflation expectations have declined to their lowest level since the start of the series in June 2013." Th...
The news media, bank executives, the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) chairman and even presidential candidates have made remarks about the recent spike in short-term funding rates. What caused the spike, and why is it important? In mid-September, there was a significant spike in the overnight...
By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. Following the FOMC's announcement of its third consecutive rate cut after its meeting this week, speculation immediately broke out among market participants about whether additional cuts or even rate increases might be on the horizon going into 2020. However, suc...
The yield curve still seems to be following the bearish timeline. My axioms here are: 1) The true measure of inversion isn't a slope of zero. At the zero lower bound, it is a slope of a little more than 1% (10 year minus Fed Funds), which declines as the base yield rises. (At about 5%, meani...
By James Ong, Director, Derivative Portfolio Management As expected, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut the federal funds rate band by 25 basis points from 1.75%-2.00% to 1.50%-1.75%. 1 Changes in the text of the Federal Open Market Committee statement, as well as information provi...
As expected, the Fed cut its target rate by 25bps for the third time this year as a response to the global slowdown in the economic activity since the beginning of 2018, lowering the range to 1.5-1.75%. Powell mentioned that the current stance of the monetary policy continues to provide meanin...
Cardiff Garcia : Hey, everybody. My name is Cardiff Garcia, and I'm the co-host of a podcast called The Indicator from Planet Money . I have seized the reigns just for this episode, because David himself is going to be in the hot seat. He's here with me in the studio right now. David, welc...
David Beckworth : Our guest today is Frances Coppola. Frances is a former banker, financial writer, and an author of a recent book called The Case for People's Quantitative Easing . Frances joins us today to discuss this book. Frances, welcome to the show. Frances Coppola : Hello there. ...
We believe raising portfolio resilience via government bonds is crucial amid elevated macro uncertainty. Scott Thiel explains. Recent weak economic data has raised market concerns that economic gloom might be spreading beyond the manufacturing sector. Worries that the drag on economic acti...
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2024-08-02 17:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...