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If you've read some of my past articles, you know that I strongly believe that interest rate/inflation risk is the greatest challenge investors face today. Rates took a major dive this year due to an expected recession that has yet to materialize and consecutive cuts by the Federal Reserve and...
Enough has happened in credit markets that I figured it was time to update charts. The long end of the curve has moved up a bit, which has led to some expressions of relief. I'm not sure we're totally out of the weeds. The entire curve has moved up from its lows by about 1/2%. That's mildly ...
Henry Curr is the economics editor for The Economist magazine, and the author of a special report by the magazine on the phenomenon of low inflation now facing the global economy. Henry joins Macro Musings today to outline this report and the big questions surrounding low inflation. Dav...
The recent rise in Treasury yields has largely been a rising breakeven inflation story. Admittedly, it was not a large move, but the 10-year breakeven appears to have bounced off the 1.5% level. (The 10-year breakeven inflation rate is the nominal Treasury yield less the quoted yield on the ...
Whether this summer’s runaway ascent of bond prices was mainly a flight-to-safety response to global trade fears or a “follow the leader” move on the part of momentum traders is a subject of fierce debate among traders. What matters most, however, is that after the market ...
By Krishna Memani, Vice Chairman of Investments Last week the US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points. Not much of a surprise there. Rate markets had been pricing in a cut with near certainty. In the press conference, Fed Chair Jay Powell emphasized that the Fed is unlikely t...
How much higher can bond yields go before equities are knocked off their perch? That's a question that's likely to be on the lips of many market participants in the weeks ahead assuming all signs continue to point to an interim trade agreement between the world's two largest economies. Ov...
There's no particular news out today, but fixed-income traders must finally have woken up and taken note of a stock market at all-time highs, an unemployment rate of 3.5%, and the easing of trade tension with China. Yields at the long end of the Treasury curve are flying higher, with the 10-...
By Jack P. McIntyre, CFA Over the last year, 10-year German Bund yields have gradually declined, while investor sentiment deteriorated over the course of this period as the U.S.-China trade dispute dragged on, taking global growth down with it. Policymakers failed to adequately address the...
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2024-08-02 17:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...