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By Jill Mislinski Note: The charts below have been updated with the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures price index from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The annualized rate of change is calculated to two decimal places for more precision in the side-by-side comparison with the Con...
A serious rejection in its first major discussion of negative interest rates recounted in the FOMC minutes. The minutes for the FOMC meeting on October 29-30, released today, shed some light on the laundry list of discussions arising out of the Fed's current review of monetary policy strat...
When you have entered this space, you may be assured that you have gone into some kind of distorted world, possibly created by Aldous Huxley. It may be a "Brave New World," but it may also be a level of Dante's "Inferno." Whatever it eventually turns out to be, it is certainly a historical pro...
In last week's testimony before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell applauded the U.S. economy's continued strength. He also suggested that, after easing monetary policy three times this year, the Fed will hold interest rates at their present leve...
Rick Rieder and Russ Brownback argue that - in contrast to the past decade of monetary policy lifting all economic boats at once - the years ahead are likely to be characterized by great dispersion between economies, industries and markets. Understanding that dynamic will be the name of the g...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on November 18, 2019. In a blog post in early September , I noted that the 10-year TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Security) yield had just gone negative and that the previous two times that this proxy for the real interest rate wen...
Originally posted on November 13, 2019 By Eric Winograd Transcript At its last meeting, the Federal Reserve gave a pretty clear signal that they don't intend to cut interest rates in December. They've cut rates three times in a row now, for a total of 75 basis points. And their ...
"You've always had the power to go back to Kansas." - the Good Witch of the East, to Dorothy, in The Wizard of Oz . (This is the conclusion of a two-part essay. For Part 1 click here .) Equipped with some historical background, we can now consider ways in which the Fed might ge...
The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $12 billion in a reopening of CUSIP 9128287D6 , creating a 9-year, 8-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security. This TIPS was created in an originating auction on July 18, with a real yield to maturity (at that time) of 0.282% and a resulting cou...
If you've read some of my past articles, you know that I strongly believe that interest rate/inflation risk is the greatest challenge investors face today. Rates took a major dive this year due to an expected recession that has yet to materialize and consecutive cuts by the Federal Reserve and...
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2024-08-02 17:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...