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This week's results in the Fed's repo-market interventions in one fell swoop proved everything I've said about the Fed's intervention being QE4ever and the problem's cause. The following results show the repo market has been fixed: Zero Hedge Zero Hedge The instant the Fed return...
Gold underperformance during periods of panic is not new. If you look at the Great Financial Crisis, you'll see that the same happened then. The gold price peaked in July and then went on to lose 27% of its value. (Source: Seeking Alpha ) More interestingly, gold then started a rally unti...
Overview Through the great inflation period of the late 1970s and for about thirty years prior all bonds taken broadly as an asset class were widely considered to be “certificates of confiscation” The portfolio losses were persistent and seemingly endless. But near the end ...
People keep asking me what the Fed should do. I've been answering that question for 11 years, and my answer is always the same: Stop paying IOER right NOW . It was a mistake from the very beginning in October 2008. It's a contractionary policy, as even the Fed acknowledges . Why would yo...
Everyone with a pension fund or 401K invested in stocks better hope the Fed becomes the buyer of last resort, and soon. Much has been written about what the Federal Reserve cannot do: it can't stop the COVID-19 pandemic or reverse the economic damage unleashed by the pandemic. But let...
Hand sanitizer is not the only commodity in short supply due to the outbreak of the coronavirus. Since late January, when the first case of the virus was reported in the U.S., investors have not been able to buy enough long bonds. Interest rates on 30-year bonds have fallen by 134 basis poin...
Easy Money Becomes Even Easier Last week, the FOMC surprised the markets with a rare inter-meeting rate cut. As the FOMC statement released on the occasion reveals, the decision to cut the Federal Funds rate by a hefty 50 basis points was unanimous. The much-lamented "zero bound" is coming...
Take a good look at March 26's moves in long-term US Treasury yields, because chances are you won't see moves of this magnitude again soon. Let's start with the yield on the 30-year US Treasury. March 26's decline of 29 basis points in the yield will go down as the largest one-day decline in t...
Long-dated paper may go on sale soon. So, what's going on with interest rates? Well, that depends on what interest rates you care about. Since the top of the year, short rates have snugged up a bit, but at the long end of the yield curve, rates have dropped precipitously. When you were nur...
Looking at a select set of recent economic releases suggests the US economy is humming along, providing room for the Federal Reserve to let current monetary policy glide forward on autopilot. But a closer look at key trends in the Treasury market and the monetary base - along with the economic...
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2024-08-02 17:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...