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The headlines today are related to inflation. Eurozone inflation hit new record highs of 5.1 percent putting pressure on central banks to raise rates. The markets are being affected. It is forcing many investors to liquidate their positions as a result of margin calls. The mar...
The markets and the eight-figure Wall Street sell-side economists all believe that the Fed is about to embark upon an aggressive course of rate hikes. A total of seven rate hikes would place the Fed funds (overnight) in a range of 1.75-2.00%. The Fed is promising to start hiking t...
Annual demand recovered across virtually all sectors – the notable exception being ETFs, which saw net annual outflows. Full year 2021 gold demand (excluding OTC) increased to 4,021t, propelled by Q4 demand which jumped almost 50% to a 10-quarter high. Bar and coin investme...
If we look at the past four Fed tightening cycles, gold outperformed U.S. stocks and the dollar six months and one year following liftoff. Real estate investment trusts (REITs) have historically done well in periods of not just rising rates but also higher inflation, both of which are...
Relative abundance of gold indicates a soft market, and likely precedes a falling price. Relative scarcity indicates a stronger market, and typically precedes a rising price. This analysis helps predict the price for the short term, because the model focuses on what is happening. But ...
As an overall disappointing year for gold and silver markets winds to a close, metals investors are looking ahead to 2022. The Silver Institute forecasts a supply deficit for the physical silver market in 2022. If enthusiasm for paper and digital assets begins to diminish, then go...
In December 1997, The Financial Times ran an article entitled “The Death of Gold.” Since then, the gold price in US dollars has increased 519I% from $288 to $1,780. To understand currency devaluation, it is necessary to understand that all currency is created by governme...
After reviewing the current year to gain a perspective for 2022, this article summarises the outlook for the dollar, the euro, and their financial systems. And finally, we look at silver, which is set to become the star performer against fiat currencies, driven by a combination of poo...
We have seen crypto disruption expand across the financial system and expect this to continue. Inflation pressures may linger through 2022 and pose a risk of spiraling into a more persistent economic factor. Historically in these market environments, real assets—including n...
Gold technicals are wound up in a massive pennant formation. It is well-seasoned, with upper resistance running back to August 2020 and lower support to March 2021. These major lines will converge in coming months, forcing a breakout. That’s highly likely to be an upside one, a...
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