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It was a tremendous week of market volatility for every asset class on Wall Street. It is still all about inflation and what will be the reaction from central banks. A challenging inflation and growth mix have driven investor concerns that the Fed won’t be able to deliver a...
Wages are rising rapidly to try to keep up with the pace of inflation. We think that this is leading us to the early stages of a wage price spiral. During periods of high inflation, traditionally, real assets prosper while traditional assets suffer. So traditional assets typically suf...
The stock market as measured by the S&P 500 is down about 15% year-to-date. COMEX gold will soon make another 'higher low'. Silver is acting just as predictably as COMEX gold. For further details see: Reality Bites: An Update
Through rising real yields, a slowing economy and poor seasonality, short-term headwinds remain for gold and precious metals. However, this move higher in real yields is unlikely to last, and will soon turn from a headwind to tailwind for gold. In an environment of ongoing geopoli...
T-note futures took out lows going back to 2011 last night, extending the free fall that began just two months ago. It’s not just the price action of Treasury futures that has us spooked; it’s also what some key commodities are telling us. How long will it be before ...
There was a lot of volatility in stocks last week but in the end, the S&P 500 was down a mere 21 basis points. A rising currency is presumably negative for the export sector and positive for domestic purchasing power. On a sector basis, there were several winners last week wit...
According to the BLS, the economy added 428k jobs in April. This exactly matched the March number after it was revised down by 3k. On a raw basis, this April was middle of the pack compared to the last 10 years. On an adjusted basis, this is the strongest April over the same time span...
Every asset class has been on a rollercoaster ride as investors are watching central bankers all around globe tighten monetary policy to fight inflation. The focus for the upcoming week will naturally be a slew of Fed speak and the latest US CPI data which is expected to show inflatio...
There are no good choices left for central banks in the US and Japan. They can’t both fight inflation and fund their government’s debts with low interest rates. The debt bubble has been long in the works, but there are no options left to deal with it in a painless way. I...
Gold would seem to be more abundant, first with a higher price. Now, the gold basis is showing that it still looks abundant, even at a lower price. The silver basis also rises around the same time. But it has fallen back to around the same level as before, under 1%. This may be a ...
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