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Summary The surge in mortgage rates has resulted in a steep drop in home buyer demand while supply of homes for sales is on a gradual rise. As a result, home prices are now falling in every major city. With house price-to-incomes ratios remaining stretched by historical standards, f...
Summary Despite delivering the strongest earnings growth of any property sector in 2022, Self-Storage REITs have stumbled of late amid a post-pandemic demand normalization and pressure from elevated supply growth. Storage demand is driven largely by housing activity – specificall...
Summary Political Calculations' initial estimate of the market capitalization of the U.S. new home market was $24.24 billion in December 2022. Since August 2022, the Census Bureau has been reporting substantial reductions in the number of sales with each revision. Based on recent pa...
Summary U.S. housing affordability worsened considerably in 2022, driven by expensive home prices and soaring mortgage rates. With the Federal Reserve remaining focused on inflation, a quick recovery from here is unlikely - yet another headwind for the U.S. economy in 2023. U.S. hou...
Summary The first and easiest leg of the bursting of the bubble we called for a year ago is complete. While the most extreme froth has been wiped off the market, valuations are still nowhere near their long-term averages. For those with a longer horizon than average, I believe stock...
Summary With aggressive rate hikes in its war against price inflation, the Federal Reserve pricked the housing bubble and air continues to seep out. Existing home sales fall for the 11th straight month in December. Existing home sales fell faster last year than they did in 2007, 200...
Summary The debate about globalization will be interesting as companies increasingly seek alternatives to China and return to more domestic suppliers to solve their global supply chain glitches. The EV earthquake from Tesla’s price cuts is still reverberating, and it will be inte...
Summary The current slope of the US Treasury yield curve is inverted. Two-year yields are higher than 10-year yields, and to us that means that investors are focused on a few things. We’re starting to see a slowdown in interest-rate-sensitive sectors, most pronounced in US housin...
Summary 2023 may be an inflection point for the equity markets. When we look at the valuations around the globe at the region or country level, everything looks really cheap. We believe the markets will stay volatile in 2023. By Melda Mergen, CFA, CAIA, Global Head of Eq...
Summary Strains are building, and the U.S. will likely enter recession in the second half of 2023. By then, Europe will likely be emerging from recession, while China and Emerging Asia may be enjoying a COVID-reopening-inspired recovery. Segments of the inflation basket will soften rapi...
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2024-07-07 05:55:00 ET The entire concept behind exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is to make investing easier. With one investment you can buy large numbers of stocks and bonds, instantly creating a diversified portfolio. But Wall Street has taken ETFs well beyond their original conception, and...
2024-05-23 09:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 22:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...