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The BCI, at 257.3, is up from last week's downward revised 257.0, and remains below the previous high of this business cycle indicated by the BCIp of 91.9. However, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg, at 9.9, is below last week’s 10.2. Both BCIp and BCIg are not signaling a rec...
By Justin Tugman, CFA Portfolio Manager Justin Tugman says slowing growth and rising multiples are making for a difficult investment environment. In his opinion, equities remain attractive, but investors should consider a defensive approach. Transcript Justin Tugman : From ...
Last week, I wrote an article discussing the August employment report, which clearly showed a slowdown in employment activity and an overall deterioration the trend of the data. To wit : "While the recent employment report was slightly below expectations, the annual rate of growth is slowi...
Source: Econoday Source: Federal Reserve Board of Governors website The industrial production figures out on Tuesday morning, while not spectacular, did reverse July weakness. The reality of the situation is that industrial production, while near all-time highs, has not generated...
As the S&P 500 broke and held above its August range in the past week, sentiment has shifted more positive. The percentage of investors reporting as bullish in AAII's weekly survey rose from 28.64% last week up to 33.13%. That is the highest since August 1st when 38.44% reported bullish ...
Investor portfolios are feeling the pain as world currencies fall to multi-year lows. The Wall Street Journal reports , “The Chinese yuan recently hit its lowest level in more than a decade against the dollar, the euro dropped to a fresh two-year low last week and the British pound i...
Economic growth has slowed, and there's no sign that output will reaccelerate anytime soon. But there's also minimal evidence that the economy is due to crumble in next month's third-quarter GDP report. Instead, the macro trend continues to plod along at a subdued pace. The median estimate f...
By Kevin Flanagan Well, the 50th anniversary of the original Woodstock has come and gone, but the August jobs report contained a trend not seen since 1969. Here are some quick takeaways: On the surface, the jobs report was a modest disappointment because total nonfarm payrolls rose by ...
By OpenMarkets Jack Bouroudjian shares the key number in the August jobs report that we should be watching, and why the real news that moves markets is often on Twitter. Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
Sentiment on the part of small business owners declined in August, and based on the steep drop in interest rates and escalation of the trade war with China, you can't really blame business owners for becoming more cautious. Overall, the main index of sentiment dropped from 104.7 down to 103.1,...