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The word from Washington has changed from the coronavirus is 'no big deal.' We can get through this biological tap on the brakes of the economy with monetary ease (50 basis point cut in the Fed funds rate), a suggested cut in payroll taxes and, last Wednesday, a 30-day ban on flights from cont...
Jay Powell fired a bazooka The Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve took to the podium on Thursday and ‘got to work’ with his balance sheet. In the midst of the U.S. stock market tumbling amid justified fear and uncertainty around the ongoing escalation of the COVID-19 situation...
The Covid-19 outbreak is a human tragedy that we need to be mindful of and sympathetic to. It's much too early to judge the potential scope of the fallout, but this is a crisis that involves us all, in one way or another. Currently, the global economy is more fragile than we probably want to a...
Even with the late-day surge on Friday, the S&P 500 ended the day with an "earnings yield" of 6.37%, not nearly as attractive though as the yield from Thursday night, March 12th, which (using the forward 4-quarter estimate of $172.71) printed 6.96%, just 3/100ths away from the December 201...
By Anwiti Bahuguna First, supply was the concern. Now demand is dropping - and recession risks are clearly elevated. When the news of the novel coronavirus first began to emerge from China, economic analysis was generally focused on the disruption of supply chains and the effect on com...
Purpose I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good nowcast of the economy and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. They are also an excellent way to "mark yo...
Right before I had to undergo a surgery at the end of the first week of February, I began to pen an article regarding the potential bearish set up in [[IWM]] as a follow up to the bearish analysis I posted about [[EEM]] earlier that week entitled “ Sentiment Speaks: Emerging Markets Loo...
"Tops are a process, and bottoms are an event" Over the last couple of years, we have discussed the ongoing litany of issues that plagued the underbelly of the financial markets. The "corporate credit" markets are at risk of a wave of defaults. Earnings estimates for 2019 fell ...
Headlines: +273,000 jobs added. U3 unemployment rate declined -0.1% to 3.5%. U6 underemployment rate rose 0.1% to 7.0%. Leading employment indicators of a slowdown or recession I am highlighting these because many leading indicators overall have strongly suggested that an employm...
" When it comes to investing, it's a losing proposition to try and be anything better than average. If there's no point in trying to beat the market through 'active' investing - using mutual funds that managers run, selecting what they hope are market-beating investments - what is the best ...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...