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By Jill Mislinski April 3 morning's release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index ((WLI)) at 106.0, down 7.0 from the previous week. The WLI Growth indicator is now at -26.9, down 11.4 from last week and its lowest since the last recession. The ECRI Indic...
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Employment Situation report for March 2020 early today, the first monthly report since the coronavirus recession began in mid-March. Here's how it describes the change in non-farm employment since the BLS's February 2020 report : Total non...
In a previous post, I simulated S&P 500 drawdowns for a perspective on what the current market correction may dispense in the weeks and months ahead. Let's supplement that analysis by visually comparing the current and ongoing peak-to-market decline with the 10 deepest drawdowns since 19...
We have few material numbers yet from companies or economies on the actual, bottom line business impact of the coronavirus pandemic. The repeatedly adjusted economic contraction estimates and revisions to guidance for companies - both always to the negative - results in, essentially almost...
All of the most important economic data from February has been reported. Since that was the last month before coronavirus derailed everything, I thought I would take a look back and see what shape the economy was in just before the moment of impact. As usual, the 4 coincident indicators that...
"I want every American to be prepared for the hard days that lie ahead. We're going to go through a very tough two weeks" - President Donald Trump, March 31, 2020 Investors should prepare for the same It seems trivial to discuss the outlook for capital markets at a time when an incr...
Original Post By Rob Bennett The coronavirus crisis has done great damage to our economy and threatens to do more. Policymakers quickly took up consideration of a number of economic stimulus measures. That makes sense. An economic downturn can turn into a spiral of negativity. Breaki...
Political Calculations' estimate of median household income rose 0.3% February 2020, increasing from January 2020's initial estimate of $66,370 to $66,538. The following chart shows the nominal (red) and inflation-adjusted (blue) trends for median household income in the United States from...
Now that’s a moonshot! (Source: FRED) Any doubts that the coronavirus would adversely impact the economy were put to rest with the release of last Thursday’s Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims. New claims were a record 3.3 million for the week, almost 5 times the previous hig...
Introduction The aggressive selloff we saw in US equities ( SPY ) in March brought investors’ interest in stocks, as they have been questioning if it could be seen as a good opportunity to buy the dip. The announcement of QE-Infinity combined with the $2 trillion stimulus generated ...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...