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Why has the S&P 500's amplification factor turned negative after more than a decade of being virtually constant? It didn't happen all at once. It has happened in stages , coinciding with significant changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policies in response to the coronav...
This weekend’s Weekly Earnings Update which was really the SP 500 forward earnings curve is/was another sign that SP 500 earnings revisions are getting less negative. There are different ways we can look at the core IBES data (provided by Refinitiv), but looking at the spreads...
Image: My great-grandfather (second from left) and his buddies in the 88th Division of the United States Army during World War I, at the time of the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918-1919. He would serve under Major General William Weigel, become proficient in the 37mm gun, and take part in the...
By John Remmert, CFA, Senior Vice President, Portfolio Manager, Franklin Equity Group, and Donald Huber, Senior Vice President, Portfolio Manager, Franklin Equity Group The COVID-19 pandemic has changed how global consumers learn, shop, travel and work, as well as how they fulfill enterta...
It is important to recall the backdrop before COVID-19 struck. Canada was already in a recession in Q4 2019 and with very weak oil prices. Economies were slowing around the world, many entering into recession. The US and most world economies were reeling under the trade war with the US and Chi...
By Robert Hughes Initial claims for unemployment insurance totaled 2.98 million for the week ending May 9, marking the eighth consecutive week of massive numbers of layoffs (see chart). However, claims have slowed for the sixth straight week after registering 6.87 million for the week endi...
The coronavirus pandemic continued taking a toll on the aggregate volume of goods and services traded between the U.S. and China in March 2020. Year over year, the combined value of goods imported and exported between the two nations fell by $13.8 billion, or 33%, from the level recorded in Ma...
Governments aren’t leading the people, the people are leading the government, Ed Harrison said during today’s Real Vision Daily Briefing. He said that both the locking down and opening up of countries in response to the virus has been driven by consumer behavior. We were...
S&P 500 are slashing both earnings and dividends on net, and yet, the S&P 500 managed to rise during the trading week ending on Friday, 8 May 2020, recovering much of the ground it lost in the latter part of the last week. Perhaps more remarkably, it did so while tracking closel...
Headlines, in a way, are what mislead you because bad news is a headline, and gradual improvement is not. - Bill Gates In April 2020, the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index crashed to 41.8% , a number that is 10.7% lower than the March 2020 number of 52.5%. What is more disturbing is that it r...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...