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By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data come out with a lag, so we are now just getting a look at the July numbers. They do, however, help fill in some of the labor dynamics that are occurring within the economy as we adjust to the COVID-19 pa...
October is a historically volatile month (see October '08, October '87), and the VIX tends to peak in the month, "jumping to [a level of] more than 21... on average over the past 30 years" ( CNBC ), where we even get the so-called October effect or Mark Twain effect. And this October is a part...
It’s been a dramatic few weeks in the equity market, and retail investors are driving it, Roger Hirst told Real Vision during today’s Daily Briefing. Retail investors are trading small and often in an options-led equity exuberance, and as a result, the institutional whal...
By Michael J. Fleisher Value stocks have lagged growth stocks for some time, but the disparity has become particularly acute this year. Growth stocks have rebounded from their March lows, while value stocks generally remain below the breakeven point as measured by the Russell 1000 Growth a...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist Weekly Market Compass: A greener economy and a rise in small businesses may be a silver lining for long-term growth. It's back to school season, and that invariably reminds me of my own education and all that I enjoyed learning whe...
I have in the past forecast stock market returns using a formula that is, in fact, a tautology - which Webster defines as a statement that is true by virtue of its logical form alone. That formula is shown in the following picture. (Source: Target Date Solutions) My challenge in the past h...
Editors' Note: This is the transcript of the podcast we posted last week. Please note that due to time and audio constraints, transcription may not be perfect. We encourage you to listen to the podcast, embedded below, if you need any clarification. We hope you enjoy. Sign up fo...
2020's summer rally for the S&P 500 (Index: SPX ) came to a crashing end on September 3, 2020. It turns out a good portion of the rally that preceded its sudden was juiced by an unusual investment strategy launched by Japan's SoftBank (SFTBY), a venture capital investment bank that appe...
By Alessio de Longis, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager, Invesco Investment Solutions A strengthening global recovery to support risky assets, favoring developed ex-US and emerging market equities. Macro update We believe the global economy is healing, and we expect its upward growth t...
Source: Barron's U.S. industrial production for the month of July rose 3.0 percent from the prior month: "Reflecting sharp increases in manufacturing and utilities output, the Labor Department released a report on Friday showing a jump in U.S. industrial production in the month o...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...