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The great part about the election is, it's a known unknown. Markets are preparing for volatility around the event, even if the event takes months to reconcile. Wall Street is actively hedging risk in that time frame. That itself is bringing down risk surrounding the event. If you ...
So far for most of the month of September, the large-cap value stock space has outperformed large-cap growth. Since the beginning of the month, the industrials and materials sectors are outperforming, and these are economically sensitive sectors. The sector laggards are growth-oriente...
The dividend futures-based model we use to project the future for the S&P 500 presents some unique challenges from time to time. In 2020, one of those challenges has been coping with changes in the model's amplification factor (m), which, after more than a decade of holding a virt...
The Technology sector has been the hardest hit group since the S&P 500's last all-time high on September 2nd. As a result of those declines, the sector's weighting in the S&P 500 has dropped roughly 1.5 percentage points from 28.85% down to 27.35%. The Technology sector ha...
Three new forces are set to lift inflation beyond what markets are currently expecting in the years ahead, reversing a decade of subdued price rises. Market volatility has returned after months of steady advances in risk assets, and could stay elevated as the U.S. election draws near....
On Friday, due to the "quad-witching options expiration" (when all options contracts for the current strike month expire and rollover), the market gave up support at the 50-dma. The markets are very oversold short term, so a tradeable "bounce" remains very likely in the next few days....
An ETF that mimics a major index should theoretically have a beta of 1. During extreme market volatility, beta in the short term will fluctuate to certain boundaries. When beta reaches its upper or lower limit, a crash or a comeback will likely occur, respectively. By monitori...
In early-September, the S&P 500 Index began what now appears to be an abrupt risk-shedding event, centered on the high-flying growth and technology stocks. We don't pretend to know for certain whether the selloff is over, it'll continue or how much additional downside is in store....
Powell is struggling to reinforce flagging Federal Reserve credibility. In the 1960s, Alan Greenspan was said to have commented the Great Depression was a consequence of the Fed having repeatedly placed "Coins in the Fuse Box". Is all the hullabaloo really about consumer inflation...
The S&P 500 is on notice as the 50-day moving average has been breached and sentiment rolls over from bullish extremes. Given where some of the tactical indicators usually end up (down) during a correction, it looks like we could have further to go on this one. Meanwhile, ther...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...