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Periods of low volume and relatively small moves are normally comforting and allow us to avoid making decisions. My biggest concern is that I may not see enough that is important and draw the wrong conclusions. I am increasingly concerned that several others, including some well-known...
High-yield credit spreads have spiked higher by 112 basis points since the start of the year. Going down the size spectrum in U.S. equities, valuations are signaling a far more dire outlook. Despite superior earnings growth, the S&P 600 return of 21% has lagged the 28% return ...
Despite their general discontent, most people don’t seem to think a severe economic downturn is imminent - despite many warning signs. There are certainly many factors, but one likely reason people can’t see the train hurtling down the tracks is a psychological phenomeno...
While some doomsday-er economists are expecting a deeply destructive hurricane (deep recession), others are only seeing a mild drizzle (soft landing) developing. Stock market veterans understand that stock prices can go down when current economic news is sunny but future expectations ...
Interest rates are going up, so bond and stock prices are going down. You can ride it out, but it could be an awfully long rough ride. The other option is to move out of stocks and bonds and either (1) hold other assets or (2) hedge your stocks and bonds. For further details...
The robust recovery from the pandemic recession has pushed U.S. inflation to a multi-decade high. Inflation expectations are showing signs of moving higher, aided by strong labor demand. Rai: Our baseline forecast is for the Fed to achieve a "soft landing". For further detai...
Two things any observer would take away from recent news media reports on the US economy are today’s high inflation and low unemployment. Monetary policymakers prime the economy for a recession by keeping interest rates too low for too long. Recessions normally occur after ...
Stocks had a ripsnorter of a rally last week and a lot of people are pondering the question in the title over this long weekend. Sentiment is certainly negative right now by several measures. Sentiment surveys (AAII, Investor’s Intelligence, etc.) are universally negative becau...
Numerous brokers, advisers, and portfolio managers have become much more cautious, led by customers worried about a recession this calendar year. While corporations are publicly maintaining bullish earnings views, shoppers and stores are reporting early signs of cutbacks, both in spen...
AMI strategies use a risk ON/OFF indicator where the main measurement is the momentum over an evaluation period of about 15 weeks. We added a second risk indicator based on a one-week momentum. This indicator generates more false signals and, overall, its performance is worse than tha...
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2024-07-19 06:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 01:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Marin Software Incorporated (MRIN) rose 126.3% to $0.6497 on volume of 228,672,822 shares PROSHARES TRUST (SQQQ) rose 2.7% to $10.9 on volume of 177,760,238 shares Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS) rose 4.9% to $3.43 ...