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U.S. Recession Probability As Fed Finally Set To Resume Rate Cuts

Source: SeekingAlpha

2025-09-16 08:58:00 ET

At long last, the Federal Reserve is on the verge of resuming rate cuts.

The Federal Reserve last cut the Federal Funds Rate to its current target level of 4.25-4.50% in December 2024. When it did, it lowered the probability of recession predicted by the recession forecasting method we've been tracking to its lowest level since early 2023....

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U.S. Recession Probability As Fed Finally Set To Resume Rate Cuts
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