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Summary In recent decades, every instance in which the economy contracted two quarters in a row has coincided with a recession. The Fed tends to keep an even closer eye on the 10-year/3-month spread, and even that is now pointing to recession as well. The Fed has temporarily s...
Summary Here are my big three for investors to consider in the fourth quarter of 2022: recessionary fears, high inflation, and slowing growth. As we analyze the risk of recession in the United States, we must consider whether the country can shift into a more normal expansion. ...
Summary The recession we see from Federal Reserve rate hikes eclipses any impact from U.S. midterm elections. We stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. Yields rose and stocks rallied off lows as markets mulled the scope of central bank rate hikes amid a “whatever it...
Summary Why we may be facing a calamitous recession vs a run-of-the-mill one. The Fed's next move on rates may be more important than others. Is it time to start reflecting on the impact rates are having on the real economy? The U.S. Federal Reserve has been ...
Summary The market is going through a period of extraordinary uncertainty. It makes the task of investing and conserving capital hugely challenging. With index investing, there's no escape from a roller coaster ride. For most people, especially retirees, it's very difficult to tol...
Summary “Recession Fatigue” is setting in as consumers struggle under rising interest rates, high inflation, and a declining stock market. With unemployment rates at record lows, jobless claims at historically low levels, and consumer spending still above trend, an o...
Summary LETF Decay costs have plateaued and are now on a downward trend. LETF decay costs bite hard in sideways and Bear markets. Credit Suisse share price is at an all-time low. Some LETFs have significant notional exposure to Credit Suisse Total Return Equity Swaps. ...
Summary U.S. economy shrank in two consecutive quarters earlier in 2022. Recession Probability Track visually illustrates how that probability changes over time. CEOs or professional forecasters are giving much higher odds of a recession taking hold in the next 12 months than ...
Summary High buying levels in SSO historically occur at major market lows. The current low level in SSO, and another ProShares ETF (QLD), may mean the bear market is not over. While many sentiment indicators and some other ProShares metrics seem to indicate the worst is over, the ...
Summary High purchase levels in QLD usually occur at major lows in the market. The current level of buying may imply the bear market has further to go. However, the purchase levels and growth in shares outstanding of other ProShares funds seem to contradict this. This may also be ...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...