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Sector rotation and rolling corrections continue, further complicating the investment backdrop. As the Fed starts to “taper”, no one can claim they were shocked. The interest rate situation is an entirely different story. Fear and Greed are the two emotions that tell...
High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. While all three timeframes remain positive, commodities and the US$ are in flux. Additionally, this week re...
The post-lockdown economic recovery was driven by market mechanisms, but this option will not be available in the years ahead. The current inflation problem has less to do with the goal that the Fed is targeting. It is more likely due to factors, which are outside the Fed's influence....
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Accurately assessing sentiment is essential during times of high market volatility. Breadth Indicators are excellent measures of market sentiment. They can be paired effectively and traded successfully with Index ETFs. The percentage of stocks above their 20-day moving average are...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
With the market's substantial rebound from September lows, I have updated the market-implied outlook for the S&P 500. The outlook to mid January remains bullish, but suggests some caution. The outlook improves by mid March, and volatility is expected to be moderate. The S&...
The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...
A recession will come to the United States economy, but not in 2022. Homebuilders will construct as many homes as they can, though that will be limited by buildable lots, skilled labor and building materials. If the Fed avoids an over-reaction recession, it risks not bringing infl...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...