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As we mark the halfway point of the year, the economy is in full recovery mode and asset prices are soaring. As we enter the second half of the year though, it is hard to ignore some contradictions. Economic growth in H1 is going to print a big number, and yet, the 10-year Treasury no...
The “expected” revenue and EPS growth rates for the S&P 500 for forward quarters continue to see higher revisions. S&P 500 kick-off the week of July 12th, 2021 when the financials start to their Q2 ’21 financial results. Q2 ’21 S&P 500 EPS a...
With all the talk about inflation expectations, central bank policy, rising Treasury yields and fiscal policies, equity investors are trying to make sense of the market by focusing on the interest rate sensitivity of valuations and the tug of war between growth stocks and value stocks. ...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) resumed an upward drift in June, rising to an annualized 6.0%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI - 6.0% - suggests that multi-asset-class strategies will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent yea...
The first signs of inflation have bubbled up in the market. It is unclear if inflation will be sustainable, but the risks of entering a new inflationary regime need to be considered. Many see a return to the pre-COVID environment of secular stagnation. But a breakout to higher inflati...
The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...
The “mega-drought” out West is expected to cause electricity prices to rise due to hydroelectric power plant output falling, being rationed, or possibly shut down. Higher food and electric prices may be “transitory,” as the Fed has asserted, but this ȁ...
The potential for higher U.S. taxes, coupled with regulatory risks and shifting growth momentum, tempers our near-term enthusiasm for U.S. equities. Euro area business activity surged in June as the region catches up on the restart that has been led by the U.S. and UK. Investors w...
The Fed's minions sold the message last week that the surge of inflation is mostly transitory and won't require the Fed to start boosting U.S. short-term interest rates before 2024. That message seemed to take hold among investors, with the S&P 500 returning to record high levels ...
On a price-only basis, the S&P 500 Index is up over 91% since the March 23, 2020 low. Nearly halfway through 2021 and the S&P 500 Index is up a strong 14%. Additionally, when evaluating investor sentiment and equity fund flows, it does not appear investors are all-in on stocks...
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Direxion Closing Four ETFs Closures Due to Limited Interest Since Launch PR Newswire NEW YORK , Aug. 20, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Due to the their inability to attract sufficient investment assets, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has d...