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One of the biggest challenges an investor faces right now is what to do with the US stock market. It is expensive, but the US government and the Fed seem willing to do anything to keep the market from crashing. What has previously happened to the US stock market when US inflation ...
The current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend. Any investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly ov...
The likelihood of 7% GDP growth (best since 1984) or even 8% (best since 1951) this year is fantastic. But there is increasing evidence that this is a “K”-shaped recovery, with the wealthy reaping stock market and real estate rewards while many small businesses have gone...
The best news last week was the continuing decline in global bond yields, including the 10-year Treasury rate falling below 1.4% last Tuesday. If and when the Fed decides to raise key short-term interest rates, I don’t think they will be able to raise rates by much, since the f...
What happened last week, as with every other recent market pullback, was another rinse-repeat cycle as wait for it - despite news of the Fed wanting to taper and of more COVID shutdowns early in the week. There are now reports the Fed, due to concerns about COVID may put off the incre...
On average, stocks in “value” funds have materially lower price/earnings ratios than “growth” funds, the justification for the latter’s higher P/E being that they produce higher earnings. They also appear to be more predictable. Most of the US and mu...
The S&P 500 broke its seven day winning streak to start the week and though it wavered, it closed the Fourth of July holiday-shortened week at a new high. In doing that, it confirmed our observation that investors have shifted their forward-looking attention to the more distant fu...
This market has been like a roller coaster since Memorial Day. The sector rotation has been the biggest churn. The biggest concern at the moment for longer-term investors, and in particular retirees, is the possibility of higher inflation on the horizon. The housing market, the jo...
Strategas President Nicholas Bohnsack breaks down the recent move in Treasury rates before getting into a few 2H21 and 2022 outlook items. While he remains bullish on equities, he says he wouldn’t be surprised to see some volatility on the horizon. The organic growth driver...
At least 18 major financial services firms report next week. The 2nd quarter 2021's EPS expected growth rate as of this weekend has risen 20% since 12/31/20. Expected revenue growth has risen from 12% to 18% for Q2 ’21. The “average” y/y revenue growth rate fo...
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Direxion Closing Four ETFs Closures Due to Limited Interest Since Launch PR Newswire NEW YORK , Aug. 20, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Due to the their inability to attract sufficient investment assets, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has d...