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The projected risk premium for the Global Market held steady in July at an annualized 6.0%, unchanged from the previous month. Despite the recent bounce, GMI’s trailing 10-year performance remains well below the previous 8%-plus peak. No one really knows what risk premia wi...
A marked fall in business optimism in July hints that companies could become reticent to expand capacity while the pandemic continues to hit supply chains. Output growth continued to run behind the growth of new orders for a fifth straight month, meaning backlogs of work rose sharply ...
While it did not get a lot of attention, Congress failed to increase the debt ceiling this past weekend. We have been told many, many times that, if they failed to increase the debt ceiling in the past, it would have serious negative repercussions for financial markets. It seems w...
The Commerce Department announced that sales of new homes declined 6.6% in June to an annual pace of 676,000, which is a post-pandemic monthly low. May’s new home sales were revised lower to an annual pace of 724,000, down from 769,000 previously reported. Durable goods orders ...
In the short run, pillows manufactured in the form of bonds can feel cozy in a world of low volatility and generationally low interest rates. Although stocks can feel like stiff, uncomfortable pillows in the short term, in the long run, historically those stiff, uncomfortable stocks b...
The lumber sector and parts of the housing market seem to be clawing for a tradeable bottom. Something interesting is happening in the options market which may bode well for the stock market. Traders are loading up on call options at the 439 and 440 strike prices for S&P 500 SPDR ...
We see China’s regulatory crackdown that recently rattled markets likely to moderate, alongside a dovish shift in macro policy, for the near term. The Federal Reserve noted further progress in the economy as expected; we see a tapering of asset purchases unlikely to start befor...
Until recently, small caps were this year’s darling, comfortably outperforming their large-cap brethren as the economic recovery manifested. The S&P SmallCap 600 finished the first half strong, posting its best performance through the first six months of any year since it w...
Most of the major asset classes continued to rise in July, led by US real estate investment trusts (REITs). US equities continued trending higher. The bull run also persisted for the Global Market Index (GMI) in July. For further details see: Major Asset Classes: July 20...
With the month of July now closed for the market, the S&P 500 Index is up 17.99% in the first seven months of the year. The mid-cap index is down 2.40% from its high, yet the average decline for the stocks in the index is 13.5% and nearly 57% of the stocks are down more than 10%. ...
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Direxion Closing Four ETFs Closures Due to Limited Interest Since Launch PR Newswire NEW YORK , Aug. 20, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Due to the their inability to attract sufficient investment assets, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has d...