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Summary The last decade, from a historical perspective, looks like an anomaly. If volatility becomes more common in the future, strategies that help reduce downside risk should become integral to equity allocations. Expect to see more volatility in the next 10 years than in th...
Summary The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October. However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom. Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates. The bear market of 2022 still has further to run b...
Summary Few sectors escaped this year’s global equity selloff in Q3. Those most vulnerable to the punishing effects of the recent spike in interest rates have paid an especially heavy toll. Real estate, telecom, utilities and tech were the worst performers in most marke...
Summary Value historically has had an edge in inflationary environments, while growth is typically preferred in a recession. With the risks of persistent inflation and impending recession both at play, we believe the best course is to build both growth and value into portfolios, a...
Summary The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 0.2% increase on the month. This will replace the 0.4% increase in September last year and allow the year-over-year rate to fall toward 8.1% from 8.3%. Encouraged by the Fed's economic projections and a view of the Fed's r...
Summary What lessons can we learn from this postwar history of recessions? Recessions in the modern era are not just the product of natural economic cycles, but also of the latent systemic pressures that exist in a highly interlinked and mutually dependent global capital market. ...
Summary The global bubble – history’s greatest bubble - is bursting and we are about to commence an adjustment period that I fear will shake us to the core. A unique confluence of developments – globalization, the rise of China, technological innovation, finan...
Summary Skewness in asset returns is a perplexing phenomenon and evokes different behavior from investors. Our theory is that skewness tends to move based on investor preferences. Investors in growth stocks may be pursuing lottery-like payouts, especially when such stocks are ...
Summary Reversing the gains from earlier in Q3, September’s market rout brought U.S. and global equity indexes back into bear market territory. Uncertainty, volatility, and recession risk are elevated, but investors should keep in mind that innovations and opportunities oft...
Summary Markets seesaw on conflicting economic signals. Is a recession possible in the U.S. in the next 12 months? Q3 earnings season outlook. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist for North America, Paul Eitelman, and Sophie Ant...
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Simplify Growth Equity Plus Downside Convexity ETF Company Name:
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The Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of Simplify Exchange Traded Funds (the “Trust”) has determined that it is in the best interests of shareholders to liquidate the Simplify Nasdaq 100 PLUS Downside Convexity ETF (QQD) and Simplify Nasdaq 100 PLUS Convexity ETF (QQC) a...
Simplify Asset Management Inc. ("Simplify"), an innovative provider of Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs"), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 6 Simplify ETFs. * For the funds listed in the table below, the ex-date for the 2022 capital gains distribut...
Simplify Asset Management Inc. ("Simplify"), an innovative provider of Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs"), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 3 Simplify ETFs.* For the funds listed in Table 1, the ex-date for the 2021 capital gains distribution...