Market And Economic Implications From The War In Iran

2026-03-15 04:49:08 ET

Stock prices fell for a third consecutive week, as investors fear that the war in the Middle East will last longer than expected, running the risk of higher oil prices, which could lead to a meaningful downturn in our economy that upends the bull market. It is a legitimate concern. Yet the markets have been relatively unscathed up to this point, with the S&P 500 index having pulled back just 5% from its all-time high to the 200-day moving average. If you didn’t know what was going on in the world, the chart below doesn’t look that concerning. In fact, it looks like a healthy consolidation of the uptrend that is approaching oversold conditions. Meanwhile, the Magnificent 7 names that have contributed more than a third of the bull market’s total gain since it started in 2022 have corrected a full 10%....

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