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2023-06-22 12:58:00 ET Summary How a recession could impact different asset classes. Why a recovery may be more U shaped than V shaped. Equity markets may not be telling the whole investor sentiment story. The S&P 500 entered bull market territory recentl...
2023-06-22 03:11:00 ET Summary The new Powell arithmetic: The Fed and the rates market believe that policy is restrictive. But uncertainty remains as the Fed signaled additional hikes and bond markets have priced in a higher probability of additional “insurance” hikes be...
2023-06-20 21:05:00 ET Summary Two weeks in a row, jobless claims have been elevated, affecting the four-week moving average. These indicators have not been as high since late 2021 and early 2022. Economic indicators geared towards manufacturing show a recession in that part of th...
2023-06-20 14:19:00 ET Summary The latest rebound in equity prices has pulled the S&P 500 and Canada’s TSX back to levels seen two years ago in June/July 2021. In the real economy, Canada’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for May contracted 6.3% year-over-year and the...
2023-06-19 03:37:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 finished Thursday, June 15 at its highest level in 14 months, and its fifth consecutive weekly gain. The long-suffering Commodities asset class led the way higher last week, but is down YTD and since the October low. The top 7 sto...
2023-06-14 21:30:00 ET Summary This year is showing there is a wide dispersion of returns across the standard index providers’ definitions of growth and value. Microsoft was the second-largest holding in the S&P 500 Growth Index and the top holding in the S&P 500 Va...
2023-06-13 09:52:00 ET Summary The latest update to the Recession Probability Track shows how it has progressed deeper into a higher probability of recession since our last update a little over six weeks ago. If the Fed follows through on pausing the series of rate hikes it began ...
2023-06-12 19:20:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 is up 11% YTD; the Nasdaq nearly 33%; and the TSX is +2.5%. The year-to-date market-weighted S&P 500 gain versus an equal-weighted basket is the most extreme since at least 1990. At the March 2000 cycle peak, tech accounted fo...
2023-06-12 14:45:00 ET Summary Nasdaq extended its streak of weekly gains to seven, the longest since November 2019. There have been seven periods of at least seven-week rallies since the Financial Crisis lows in May 2019. The average ‘max drawdown’ over any thre...
2023-06-09 04:33:35 ET Summary The 2023 stock market rally is driven by AI speculation and Big Tech giants, with the MAAMG group (Meta, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google) reaching a combined valuation of approximately $10 trillion. Citigroup's lead strategist Dirk Willer and th...
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2024-06-24 04:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 13:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 04:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...