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2023-10-12 22:25:00 ET Summary Headline CPI came in at 3.7% today, but it’s at 2%, right on target, when you exclude shelter alone. This is pretty crucial in the broader context of what’s happening today because shelter is still running at 7.1% in the CPI when we kno...
2023-10-11 10:15:00 ET Summary Inflationary pressures will likely be higher going forward than they’ve been over the past two decades. Higher real interest rates are necessary in such an environment to keep inflation at target. Higher real interest rates put pressure on bot...
2023-10-11 01:05:00 ET Summary Over the past 12 months industrial production has been flat and the ISM Manufacturing Report has been warning of imminent recession. Despite the warnings from reliable leading indicators, the dominant view now is that there will be a “soft lan...
2023-10-10 01:03:00 ET Summary It’s hard to blame the bulls for their good cheer of late. Spiking inflation no longer dominates the headlines even as the U.S. economy has rebounded toward its long-term trend. Meanwhile, the labor market has started to ease (perhaps reducing...
2023-10-07 00:51:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 Index's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 18.8 times is 8% greater than the historical median valuation of 17.3 times, and in the 68th percentile relative to history. Both the regular return on equity (ROE) and the intangibl...
2023-10-06 10:00:00 ET Summary Just when you thought it was safe to assume that the soft-landing fix was in, the bond market has thrown a wrench into the machine. Reading the latest headlines suggests that a recession in the near term is once again a high, or at least higher, risk...
2023-10-04 23:35:00 ET Summary The big technology stocks have been able to hold up the market, while small- and medium-caps have sold off. The focus is likely to remain on factors that had weighed on markets last month, namely, rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Investors...
2023-10-04 22:55:00 ET Summary The strike against the Big Three US automakers by the UAW and the Fed’s stating that it will be tighter for longer were all bad news items in the past month. It was a terrible month for financial assets, with big drops in broad equity indices ...
2023-10-04 06:00:00 ET Summary Rising interest rates and coinciding sell-off in the US treasury market have negatively impacted the equity markets. Rising oil prices have also contributed to the stock market's decline. Despite the correction, earnings expectations for the S&am...
2023-10-02 06:00:00 ET Summary Even if we have a recession soon, we don't have to have another bear market. Cash investments like T-bills are paying well right now but historically, today's rates are just a little above average. Both the 10-year Treasury yield and the dollar r...
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2024-06-24 04:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 13:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 04:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...