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2024-06-17 11:45:00 ET Summary The Russell 2000 fell 1.6% on Friday, was in the red year-to-date, was back where it had first been in January 2021, and was down 18% from its all-time high in November 2021. The Nasdaq Composite eked out the fifth record close in a row on Friday, an...
2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...
2024-06-10 06:30:00 ET Summary Today's market sentiment is almost apathetic compared to the frenzy of the late 1990s. The "weak breadth" conundrum lasted almost five full years in the late 1990s accompanied by the similar narrow leadership within the S&P 500 at that time as we...
2024-06-05 08:30:00 ET Summary The month of May continued the bull market trajectory which started back in October 2022 and has now produced positive returns for 4 out of the first 5 months of 2024. This came with enhanced volatility. There are current headwinds, including softeni...
2024-06-02 13:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 01:45:00 ET Summary The Treasury yield curve has been inverted between the 10-year and 2-year maturities for 500 days. Prior to the current inversion, which started in 2022, the 10-2 curve has inverted on four occasions since 1987. It still may be too early to concl...
2024-05-28 10:50:00 ET Summary A broad set of US economic indicators continues to show that the odds are low that an NBER-defined recession has started or is imminent. The macro trend peaked earlier in the year and is slowing, but the current reading for April remains moderately n...
2024-05-27 04:40:00 ET Summary Year-to-date, stocks are proving resilient in the face of higher interest rates and more muted expectations for monetary easing. This year’s backup in rates is much more contained. While investors will always prefer lower to higher rates, ...
2024-05-24 11:50:00 ET Summary Wall Street economists increasingly believe the risk of recession has fallen sharply. We currently have the longest, consistent period in history where the yield spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill is inverted. ...
2024-05-20 15:10:00 ET Summary The VIX may be trading at 52-week lows lately, but the Nasdaq has been nothing short of volatile. Since the Nasdaq’s inception in 1971, the current period is just the 15th time it shifted from extreme oversold to extreme overbought levels in 2...
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2024-06-24 04:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 13:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 04:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...