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Summary Falling stock prices hit household wealth. Household wealth is still up massively on pre-pandemic levels. Strong balance sheets will help the US weather the economic storm. By James Knightley, Chief International Economist The hefty falls in equity ...
Summary At the Jackson Hole Summit, Jerome Powell made it clear the Federal Reserve remains focused on combatting inflation despite recession signals rising in tandem. While the Federal Reserve is focused on fighting inflation and willing to cause “some pain” to achi...
Summary The hawks won the front-loading argument and the ECB’s council unanimously decided to raise all key rates by 75bp. The growth forecasts, while lowered, do not project a recession next year and thus provide the leeway for more forceful action. Markets now see a 5...
Summary The main economic data release for the trading week is the US inflation report. The UK economy is in a precarious position and facing a recession. Chinese President Xi is expected to meet with Russian President Putin at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in U...
Summary Forecasters have no choice but to base their judgments on models, be they complex or informal, mathematical or intuitive. Small errors in assumptions regarding the economic environment and small changes in participants’ behavior can make differences that are highly ...
Summary Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance fell by 6,000 for the week ending September 3rd, coming in at 222,000. The four-week average fell to 233,000, down 7,500 from the prior week. Initial claims remain at a very low level by historical comparison, but...
Summary The trailing twelve-month performance spread between the small-cap growth and large-cap value indices is currently at -20.5 percentage points. This year’s trailing twelve-month performance spread was the lowest since 2001. Small-cap growth stocks tend to trade a...
Summary Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 315,000 in August 2022 to a seasonally adjusted level of 152,744,000. Starting with the Age 16-17 portion of the teen workforce, the number of working teens reversed a three-month downtrend, jumping from 179,000 to 2,255,000. ...
Summary Global economic output contracted in August for the first time since June 2020, according to the latest PMI survey data. For the first time since early 2020, all four largest developed economies reported falling output. Reduced input cost inflation and worsening demand...
Summary Jackson Hole reset expectations to focus more on inflation. The U.S. dollar should stabilize over the medium-term amid hawkishness from other central banks and slowing economic data. At stake is Europe’s ability to refill their storage tanks ahead of winter. ...
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2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-27 16:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...