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Economic growth remains in a sharp downturn. Recent data from the employment and ISM manufacturing reports confirmed and emphasized the slowing growth trend. When economic growth is slowing, avoid cyclical assets in favor of defensive assets. For further details see: Ign...
Western economies received a rude awakening to the risks of supply chain disruptions and component dependency/deficiency during the Covid pandemic. Sovereigns, businesses, and households today are all highly leveraged. Inflation is likely to be higher than the Fed’s target ...
US nonfarm payrolls added 431,000 jobs in March, extending a run of 11 consecutive months and 14 of the last 15 months with gains above 400,000. Despite the strong, broad-based gains over the past year, only about half of the industry groups in the employment report are above their pr...
Follow the Money is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically but not on a fixed schedule. After rallying for 9 of the last 11 days, the S&P 500 went from down -13% to down just -3.4%. Growth has been hit hard by the slide in tech stocks this y...
Are we closer to the end or the beginning of a market correction? What does this uncertainty mean for global equity markets? Deteriorating growth outlook, inflation and geopolitical woes: Where do we go from here? For further details see: Market Correction: Are We Closer...
Spending shifts slowly back to services. But spending on goods still massively above trend, despite supply shortages. Spending on durable goods continues to be handicapped by large-scale supply issues, particularly with new vehicles, where global production continues to get hit by sem...
Pick any barometer of costs these days, and the story is the same: Prices are up - and in a dramatic fashion. The first thing that jumps out is the dismal performance of most asset classes during periods of low growth and high inflation - otherwise known as stagflation. A solid fo...
It's that time again, where the global financial markets community swoons over the latest US jobs report. It's expected to be strong. But often the market can ignore the number and instead use it as an excuse to latch on to a preferred trend. In that respect, it will be key to see...
Fundamentals always win out in the end, regardless of what style is trending. Volatility opens up opportunity in names that were previously out of reach. Our strategy summarized: clear buy/sell disciplines, a flexible asset allocation process, and a long-term perspective. Fo...
Bullish sentiment turned slightly lower this week in spite of the S&P 500’s move higher, shedding 0.9 percentage points to come in at 31.9%. Bearish sentiment fell for a second week in a row, falling another 7.9 percentage points to 27.5%. Neutral sentiment clipped abov...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...