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How the history of horse manure may provide lessons for the present. Some defensive sectors are leading in relative performance. Hope for the future of small caps? Whether we like it or not, we are still dependent on fossil fuels. For further details see: History Rhy...
AIER’s Everyday Price jumped 3.0 percent in March after rising 1.3 percent in February and 1.0 percent in January. The Everyday Price Index including apparel, a broader measure that includes clothing and shoes, rose 2.8 percent in March after gaining 1.4 percent in February and...
The inflation news seems to have pushed the market higher today. Was the news the real cause of this rally? Sometimes it pays to look a bit deeper than the common superficial views of the market. For further details see: Sentiment Speaks: The Absolute Stupidity About The...
Due to the war in Ukraine and the resulting sanctions and embargoes - on top of the already interrupted supply chain, plus a new COVID outbreak in China - global trade is grinding down to a slow-motion “holding” action. As a result of these disruptions, PMIs all over the...
The rise in long-term interest rates continues to crush the value of growth stocks. Valuations are coming down rapidly into what are more reasonable historical ranges. We need to see corporate profits exceed estimates by 7% in order to preserve the sequential growth. That shou...
Looking back historically, high levels of inflation combined with Fed tightening of monetary policy led to either a recession, bear market, or a crisis. During the first couple of months of 2022, hedge funds went into liquidation mode. Over the last six months, the market has made...
The Department of Labor’s March establishment survey, based on data gathered from businesses, showed that American employers added back nearly half a million jobs and are now just 1.5 million jobs below peak employment. For the first week of April, jobless claims came in at jus...
Gasoline prices leapt 45% over the past year, and the UN Food and Agriculture food price index, rose 34 percent to an all-time high in March. It’s illuminating to note that the S&P 500 materials sector is no higher today than it was in mid-November for all the inflationary ...
Supply shocks have created scarcity inflation, making higher inflation more persistent and increasing the risk of a growth slowdown. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields hit three-year highs after it became clear the Fed will start to reduce its balance sheet quickly. We see further yield ri...
AIER’s Leading Indicators Index partially rebounded in March, posting an 8-point rise following a 17-point drop in February and a 13-point gain in January. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show the total number of job opening...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...