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The S&P 500 and the US government bond index are now down about 12% from their highs (similar to Canada’s treasury bond index). Of course, Treasuries have guaranteed income payments and maturity dates, while stocks have none. In recent years, global equities have had an...
Ideally, we’d have a highly liquid NGDP futures market. Unfortunately, we are still in the Stone Age of macroeconomics. The stance of monetary policy is not a single number; it’s a vector. The simplest explanation for what’s going on is that the Fed is gradual...
Recovery from the COVID-19 recession has been characterized by resilient demand amid a series of supply disruptions. If inflation proves more persistent, more aggressive monetary policy tightening would be necessary, which restrains demand. The steep rise in global food and fuel p...
Analyst consensus estimates now put the net income of S&P 500 companies as a whole at 4.3% year-on-year growth in Q1. But with inflation running at a 7.9% pace, that means that in real terms, earnings growth is now negative. Strip out the effect of the spike in the energy sector's...
The market was unable to hold support on the pullback from the 4637SPX high. This has opened the door to test the 4000SPX region. It also seems as though the great majority of the market is prepared for a bear market. But, that is not how markets really work. For further det...
As investors seek safety in the US Dollar, this may eventually trigger a broader and deeper selloff in U.S. stocks and market volatility will begin to pick up as the VIXY moves up. The US Dollar is continuing to appreciate as investors and central banks seek safety from geopolitical, ...
Medeiros: China's lockdown policies have resulted in a deceleration in export numbers to China from Korea and Japan. Weak demand growth from a long-lasting Covid zero policy was one of the major emerging markets risks. Medeiros: We need to be worried about a supply chain concept c...
There’s a growing list of potential threats to the economy. Although growth has slowed over the past two months, the current rate of expansion continues to reflect above-average strength. The US economy is slowing, but recession risk is still low. For further details ...
New orders for durable goods increased 0.8 percent in March, rebounding from a 1.7 percent drop in February. New orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft, or core capital goods, a proxy for business equipment investment, jumped 1.0 percent in March after falling 0.3 perc...
With long-term U.S. rates near 3% and short-term rates soon to rise to near 1%, the U.S. dollar will stay stronger than the euro, whose official rate remains near zero, so the world will keep buying U.S. dollars. This week, we get the official first estimate of first-quarter GDP. Than...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...