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The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the total number of job openings in the economy increased to 11.549 million in March, up from 11.344 million in February. The total job openings rate, openings divided by the sum of jobs plus o...
Anybody confused by recent economic reports is not alone. How can we have an apparently beginning recession with the hottest job market in decades? Probably this has to do with the sources of the reported decline in real GDP, which may yet get revised upwards. Nobody is forecastin...
The major markets’ technical review will help readers understand the underlying technical conditions for potential opportunities and risk management. This helps refine not only decision making about what to own and when but what to overweight or underweight to achieve better pe...
April ended with a huge drubbing for risk assets. A sharp rise in global interest rates hurt high-duration stocks the most, but sellers came after some of 2022's winners too. Given a further bearish turn in technicals and several other macro headwinds, we remain cautious on stocks...
Friday, the market woke up to think about the realities of a recession suddenly staring back at them from the mirror. That ugly truth will remain in front of them, regardless of what the Fed does. It took no change in the news at all to completely knock the exuberant market down i...
April saw the worst monthly performance for the NASDAQ since November of 2008 when the country was in the depths of the financial crisis. The war in Ukraine entered its third month and inflation shows no signs as abating as 1st quarter GDP growth was negative. What will the month ...
The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...
We don’t see a wage-price spiral. Companies are actually paying less in labor per unit of output, we find. We think wages can rise more without adding to inflation. The S&P 500 plunged to new 2022 lows last week. We remain overweight equities in the inflationary backdrop bu...
This article provides data and examples for how (and why) various assets typically perform during stagflationary environments. Bonds and growth stocks tend to have the most trouble. Value stocks, commodities, and real estate are typically the places to be. Some cash can also help ...
While the two more senior historic indices have not confirmed a bear market, retail sentiment for the next six months is extremely bearish. The American Association of Individual Investors' (AAII) latest weekly survey summary indicates a 59.4% bearish view. There were 989 new lows for...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...