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Summary There seems to be a widespread view that employment is a lagging indicator of changes in the business cycle. The growth rate of payroll employment slowed sharply in the 6 months before the onset of recession. When there is no unexpected shock like Covid, it seems as though e...
Summary Lehman declared bankruptcy on September 15, 2008. Let’s compare SPY in 2022 to the experience of 2008 before the Lehman bankruptcy which then punctuated a year-long downside drift. 2022 has exhibited a downside drift much like early 2008. Now what? There will be a capitul...
Summary 2022 was a disappointing year for both stock and bond investors. The real (inflation-adjusted) 25% loss in stocks is in the bottom decile. The real 20.3 bond loss is the worst in the past 97 years, and greater losses could lie ahead. The following 2 histograms and ...
Summary Financial markets are set to close a difficult year amid the war in Ukraine, pandemic aftershocks, and inflation-eroding purchasing power. As always, the first rule for every investor is to try to survive and avoid making mistakes that could prove fatal. As for me, I hope I ...
Summary With 2022's final trading day done and dusted, we move into 2023 with cautious optimism. Strategists have gotten their 2022 EPS target for the S&P 500 spot on. However, they didn't anticipate a valuation compression due to significant macro headwinds. Could 2023 be any d...
Summary 2022 ends on a sour note with an across-the-board December selloff. The year is over, but the macro scene still looks challenging. If an investor has learned nothing else, it's obvious trying to fight the Fed is a losing proposition. "Anything worth doing is wo...
Summary As we near the close of 2022, we discuss what growth and tech investors need to consider after a hugely underwhelming year. FAANG/FANMAG stocks have significantly underperformed the S&P 500. Energy's resurgence against Tech could inflict more pain if the trend change is deci...
Summary I explain why most of my recommendations are holds though my articles often give reasons not to buy the investment discussed. I then review the 13 buy or sell recommendations I issued and report on how well they fared. Even my two recommendations that resulted in losses turn...
Summary The Bank of Japan shocked the market by increasing the band on their Yield Curve Control policy. The policy change was necessary because the BOJ has maintained an accommodative monetary policy despite surging inflation and a weakening yen. The policy change has not had the d...
Summary Bullish sentiment actually rebounded up to 26.5% after spending four straight weeks below 25%. Bearish sentiment fell from a recent high of 52.3% down to 47.6%. The share of respondents reporting neutral sentiment was also lower this week falling for the fourth week in a row...
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2024-06-14 05:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 15:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...