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Summary The S&P 500 is very expensive on a PE multiple basis. The index is also very expensive relative to the 10-year rate. This is for earnings growth that is deteriorating. The next leg of the bear market could be here, as investors begin to turn their attention awa...
Summary Past episodes of debt ceiling histrionics have resulted in temporary government shutdowns. With both sides seemingly dug in, a repeat of the 2011 episode cannot be ruled out. In 2010, republicans controlled the House and demanded that President Obama negotiate over deficit r...
Summary We have hit the debt limit; we have a problem. How can we put off the problem and make someone else deal with somewhere down the road? Both political parties, in my opinion, don't really want a solution to the "debt" problem; they just want to send it off once again into the...
Summary Looking at the most recent readings of many economic indicators, nowcasting gives a more up-to-date reading of the economy than gross domestic product. The weakest US sector is housing. Building permits have been on a downward trend for much of 2022 and dropped again in December...
Summary Bonds are back, offering the highest yields in over a decade. With an emphasis on a fixed income, my portfolio is positioned for weaker growth but stronger markets in 2023. Using an income-compounding approach, I can continue to grow my future income stream for retirement by...
Summary Stocks have rallied to start the year due to financial conditions easing. The Fed, to this point, has been unable to convince the markets of its commitment to raise rates. Vice-Chair Lael Brainard speaks this week and could be personified to reset market expectations. ...
Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary The CPI cooled again in December driven by a massive fall in Energy prices. A big driver behind the fall in Energy prices has been the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Lower inflation is “good for gold” as the Fed can theoretically pull back on hikes. ...
Summary U.S. nearing its statutory debt limit of ~$31.281 trillion. Congressional gridlock on changing the debt limit appears likely. Fed QT roll-off of $60 billion in U.S. Treasury securities is continuing. Secretary of Treasury, Yellen, has warned the Speaker of the U.S. House...
Summary Why the second half of 2023 may be good for markets. Inflation may be cooling, but the labour market isn't. Why investors are having a mixed reaction to encouraging CPI numbers. U.S. consumer inflation data showed prices softening in December. Greg Bonnell ...
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2024-06-14 05:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 15:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...