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Diversification remains key. Flexible strategies can also take advantage of a more uncertain yield and spread environment. We continue to find reasonable opportunity in both public and private credit markets. We find value in non-agency mortgages and prefer cyclicals to growth sto...
Total nonfarm payrolls rose by +916,000 in March, well above consensus forecasts. ISM Manufacturing rose to its highest level since 1983. Consumer confidence surged to its best showing since last March. For further details see: Going Out Like A Lion
Stocks were up but the bigger winners were commodities and real estate. With the dollar down foreign markets also performed pretty well with Europe continuing to outperform. Growth beat value again last week but still lags significantly YTD. Large cap stocks also had another good week...
Headline, total retail sales smashed upward by 30% year-over-year (not adjusted), only some of which, again, are due to the low comparison by way of March 2020 in decline. Seasonally adjusted, retail sales were almost 10% higher in March than they had been in (upward revised) February...
Retail sales and food-services spending surged 9.8 percent in March, the second sharp jump in the last three months. Core retail sales, which exclude motor vehicle dealers and gasoline retailers, posted an 8.2 percent jump for the month, putting that measure at a new record high as we...
Bruinsma: Seeing signs of life in mobility to retail and services. Bruinsma: Restaurant spending is higher than pre-pandemic levels. COVID-19 variants threaten to slow the re-opening. For further details see: What The Latest U.S. Retail Trends Say About The Economic Reop...
Month-over-month nominal sales in March increased by 9.8%. Real Retail Sales increased by 9.2% and is at its all-time high. This indicator is a splicing of the discontinued retail sales series with the Retail and Food Services Sales and deflated by the seasonally adjusted Consumer...
For cord-cutters, the shift away from cable TV was more than just a shift away from "cable" or "satellite" - it was a break from a provider with a proprietary piece of hardware that consumers had to install and pay for to access programming. Retail's Digital Shifters are in the proces...
All of the recent positive economic news caused the IMF to raise its 2021 U.S. GDP forecast by a giant step to 6.4% (from 5.1% previously estimated). That would represent the strongest annual economic growth rate since 1984. The one warning flag is inflation. Producer Price Index rose...
The economic restart has lifted commodity prices. Beyond that, we see structural trends leading to a divergence of fortunes in different commodities. The International Monetary Fund has raised its global growth forecast to 6% in 2021. U.S. stocks hit record highs and yields traded bel...