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The reality of the continuing pandemic has slowed the economic recovery and is reflected in new patterns of spending. People didn’t stop spending during the pandemic. It still remains to be seen if there will be enough of a shift from spending on goods to services to help e...
Taking a look at how the expected Q3 ’21 sector revenue growth rates have changed since mid-August ’21 or the unofficial end of Q2 ’21 earnings season. Per Bespoke’s research, the S&P 500 has now reached “extremely oversold” levels, worse ...
Global Private Equity is in the lead, up 19.7% after its 2020 gain of 12.5%. Emerging Markets are the laggard with a YTD gain of just 1.5%. Commodities have come on strong this year after losing -7.8% last year. US REITs have rebounded strongly from last year's -4.7% decline. High...
Fernandes: U.S. retail sales in June 2020 were already higher than in December 2019. Fernandes: US consumer is in a much better position than they were in 2008. Fernandes: We see a potential slowdown in China as a potential risk to the U.S. corporate earnings outlook. For fu...
Sales of new single-family homes posted a small gain in August, increasing 1.5 percent to 740,000 at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate from a 729,000 pace in July. Despite the gain, sales are down 24.3 percent from the year-ago level and are 25.5 percent below the 993,000 pace in Janu...
The Covid-19 Delta variant continues to trigger shifts in consumer sentiment, and this is reflected in retail sales and earnings results. The latest U.S. retail sales numbers show that the strongest spending happened at non-store retailers, suggesting that consumers are still gravitat...
Beginning with what is perhaps the best indicator of growth potential in the real economy, as opposed to just the financial economy, the G3 credit impulse is now firmly in negative territory after peaking in the latter stages of 2020. Turning to manufacturing, building permits for new...
Stimulus-fueled retail sales started spiking last year, culminating in a mind-blowing free-money blow-off top in April. In dollar terms, overall inventories ended July at $603 billion, unchanged since April, and down 9.3% from two years ago. Supermarkets have recovered from the em...
Retail sales and food services spending rose 0.7 percent in August following a 1.8 percent drop in July. The three-month annualized growth rate is -0.9 percent though the level of sales is still well above the most recent nine-year trend. From a year ago, total retail sales are up 15....
The Census Bureau, on Thursday, released its estimates for retail sales. Most pay attention only to the seasonally adjusted version, which was surprisingly positive for August 2021. It was widely expected sales would continue to fade, another monthly move downward nonetheless as the l...