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A significant decline in the US retail footprint is imminent as sales continue to shift online, turbocharging the next leg of digital advertising spending in the US. Although the US e-commerce penetration scaled from less than 5% of total retail sales in 2011 to nearly 14% in 2021, it...
Consumer spending rose by 2.7% in Q1, annual rate, adjusted for raging inflation. Gross private domestic investment rose by 2.3% annualized, following the spectacular spike in Q4. Less-catastrophic imports, thereby a less-catastrophic trade deficit, will reduce the drag on GDP. ...
A buy limit order I had set for Ford executed Thursday at $12.25. This was the third of four tranches I’ve purchased for the position. Wells Fargo did me a favor by double-downgrading the stock and slashing the price target from $24 to $12. This caused the stock to sell off...
In addition to rampant inflation in the price of grain and other foodstuffs, the markets are seeing a major supply shortfall of cooking oils, including sunflower and palm oils, that is causing their prices to surge as well. Looking ahead to Q2 2022, 15 retailers issued negative preann...
AIER’s Lagging Indicators index was unchanged for the third consecutive month, holding at 83 in April. Real gross domestic product fell at a 1.4 percent annualized rate in the first quarter versus a 6.9 percent rate of gain in the fourth quarter. The median sales price of a...
As the MOMO, YOLO, and BTFD days sink deeper into the past, we remind investors to focus on fundamentals. CarMax’s consistent profit growth before the pandemic suggests, over the long run, Core Earnings will return to trend growth. CarMax’s PEBV ratio means the stock...
With the world facing inflationary and geopolitical hurdles, economic growth is poised to slow. Shares across sectors have been hit hard. Investors in growth stocks must identify companies with the right features to overcome headwinds to earnings. For further details see: ...
Consumers continue to spend at a healthy pace. But will it last? Will consumer discretionary stocks get more love this year? Kim Parlee speaks to Jacky He, Global Consumer Discretionary Analyst, TD Asset Management, about the health of the consumer. For further details see: ...
We don’t see a wage-price spiral. Companies are actually paying less in labor per unit of output, we find. We think wages can rise more without adding to inflation. The S&P 500 plunged to new 2022 lows last week. We remain overweight equities in the inflationary backdrop bu...
Inflation and rising interest rates create an uphill journey for the consumer and the economy. Rising treasury yields, elevated inflation and slowing real economic growth are factors being watched by both equity and fixed income investors. Year-to-date, equity market volatility sp...