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Summary Applications for mortgages to purchase a home plunged every week since late January and now dropped to a new 28-year low. Homebuilders played a big role in the January-hype-and-hoopla show. Bankruptcy equities and collapsed post-SPAC and post-IPO stocks doubled or tripled in...
Summary Today’s US data has been disappointing with housing, manufacturing, and construction data all hinting at challenging conditions. Unfortunately, given the lack of buyer interest in the residential property market, we expect construction activity to remain a drag on overall...
Summary Non-seasonally adjusted new home sales were indeed higher, jumping by 12,000 to 59,000 sales from December 2022's revised estimate. The partially complete time-shifted rolling twelve-month average of the U.S. new home market capitalization for January 2023 is $24.81 billion. ...
Summary Year-over-year growth in consumer debt payments since 2020 has outstripped growth in discretionary income by the most on record. Some $10 trillion of US private debt up for renewal in 2023 now faces interest costs 400 to 500 basis points higher than they have been paying. A ...
Summary Stock market bears are fixated on the belief that inflation is not only "running hot" but also "accelerating." Natural gas prices have truly collapsed, falling by way more than ever before in a short span of time. It takes time for monetary policy - which is undoubtedly tigh...
Summary Apartment REITs were the second-worst-performing property sector in 2022 - barely outperforming the troubled office sector - despite delivering a record year of operating performance highlighted by 20% FFO growth. Following two years of historic rent growth, there is little doub...
Summary There was a glimmer of hope in the housing data from January. When housing moves a lot in one direction or the other, it has a disproportionate impact on aggregate growth. Housing is a big slow-moving beast and the basic math on affordability still looks very dreary to me. ...
Summary Market is still frozen, potential sellers sit on vacant properties, hoping this too shall pass. Cash Buyers, investors, second-home buyers pull back further. The median price of all types of homes fell for the seventh month in a row, to $359,900, down 13.2% from the peak in June...
Summary The REIT sector sharply rebounded from a tough 2022 with an +11.77% total return in January 2023. Micro cap REITs (+16.16%) saw disproportionately strong gains in January, followed by double-digit returns for small caps (+11.79%), mid caps (+11.50%) and large caps (+10.07%). ...
Summary The M2 measure of money supply is declining, and higher interest rates are increasing the demand for money; this is a one-two punch which is rapidly snuffing out inflation. There is still no sign of the kind of economic or financial market stress that would trigger a recession. ...
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2024-06-27 19:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-18 09:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-17 14:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...