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AIER’s Lagging Indicators index was unchanged for the third consecutive month, holding at 83 in April. Real gross domestic product fell at a 1.4 percent annualized rate in the first quarter versus a 6.9 percent rate of gain in the fourth quarter. The median sales price of a...
We're seeing declining asset prices from bond to equities, and in some cases, real assets because of higher inflation. We are seeing early signs that inflation is starting to moderate. Equity market is currently pricing in the probability of a mild recession. For further det...
Healthcare, Staples, and Utilities continue to outperform as selling intensifies in the growth style. Investor positioning is still light in the space – even after a year of alpha. While absolute valuations have turned somewhat pricey, the defensive supersector shows decent...
PepsiCo's Frito Lay division and Mondelez are two great and leading snack food companies. Both benefit from powerful demographic trends and attractive economic characteristics. Over the last five years, Frito Lay's revenues have out-grown Mondelez's due to the strength of its global b...
EL shares fell 5.8% on Tuesday after disappointing results. Organic sales growth was 9% last quarter and expected to be 5-7% for FY22. The reason was China, where COVID lockdowns have reduced in-store sales and disrupted EL's national distribution centers in Shanghai. EL sales gro...
During the last Fed rate raising cycle, it took the Federal Reserve five years to raise the fed funds rate to 2.50%. The Fed kept rates far too low for far too long and now we are dealing with the consequences. Both fiscal and monetary policy have been highly inflationary, and we are ...
Clorox is a highly profitable and well-managed company. This is underscored by consistently high margins, excellent working capital management, and return on invested capital. Due to inflationary pressures and pandemic-related excess capacities, the company's gross margin has fallen d...
Consumers continue to spend at a healthy pace. But will it last? Will consumer discretionary stocks get more love this year? Kim Parlee speaks to Jacky He, Global Consumer Discretionary Analyst, TD Asset Management, about the health of the consumer. For further details see: ...
We don’t see a wage-price spiral. Companies are actually paying less in labor per unit of output, we find. We think wages can rise more without adding to inflation. The S&P 500 plunged to new 2022 lows last week. We remain overweight equities in the inflationary backdrop bu...
Inflation and rising interest rates create an uphill journey for the consumer and the economy. Rising treasury yields, elevated inflation and slowing real economic growth are factors being watched by both equity and fixed income investors. Year-to-date, equity market volatility sp...