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Elga discusses how conventional and unconventional monetary policy space is limited and rapidly being used up even before central banks respond to the next downturn, let alone a full-blown recession. This is the second in a series of four blogs on the topic of "Dealing with the next downturn....
Background This is Part 2 of a planned 3-part series. Part 1 reviewed the secular bull market in bonds, i.e., toward lower rates, as I have described it since 2013. It also proposed a new target range for the 30-year Treasury bond ( TLT ) a few years from now of 1-2.5%, and a target yield ...
David Beckworth : Our guest today is Thomas Hoenig. Tom was Vice Chair of the FDIC from 2012 to 2018, and then 20 years prior to that he was president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank. Tom is currently a distinguished senior fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, whe...
A paradigm is a mental framework. It has a both a positive pressure and a negative filter. It structures one's thoughts, orients them in a certain direction, and rules out certain ideas. Paradigms can be very useful; for example, the scientific method directs one to begin with facts, explain t...
Free trade and globalization have contributed to lower inflation and steady economic growth over the past 40 years. The US plans to return to a level of protectionism not seen since the Tariff Act of 1930 . If tariffs on China reach the proposed levels next year, it could result in either une...
Why exactly do governments borrow? Well, it's not for the same reason as most private sector entities (households or firms) borrow, i.e., to make investments. While there are many who argued that the government should borrow only to invest, that idea has not actually been put into practice. ...
[Personal Note: With Hurricane Dorian heading my way I may not be able to conduct business for a few days next week. Who knows if my phone lines will work or if I will have any internet service. I am in the "Hunker Down Mode," with the Sages. Please wish us well.] There are many theories abo...
The most important forces that now exist are: 1) The End of the Long-Term Debt Cycle (When Central Banks Are No Longer Effective) + 2) The Large Wealth Gap and Political Polarity + 3) A Rising Work Power Challenging an Existing World Power = The Bond Blow-Off, Rising Gold Prices,...
There is a difference between taking profits on a trade/position and a strong expectation that the market/stock will see a change in direction. Until now, all I have done was take profits on my bond positions, and now I am starting to see signs that the market may be topping out. Those that ...
All we keep hearing is that the precipitous decline in our interest rates means a dramatic economic slowdown/recession is on the horizon in the U.S. Nope! Au contraire. Our longer duration rates have declined as foreigners have been buying our debt with both hands as interest rates abroad are ...
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Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 29, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company") reports that Nevada County (the "County") has announced that its Board of Supervisors will hold its public hearing on the Company's Vested Rights Petition (the "Petition")...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 26, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the " Company ") announces that it intends to raise up to US$500,000 through the issuance of up to 2,500,000 units (each a " Unit ") at a price of US$0.20 per Unit (~CDN$0.26928 per Unit),...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 25, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company" or "Rise Gold") is pleased to report that Mr. Joseph Mullin has been appointed as President and CEO of Rise Gold and President of the Company's wholly owned operating subsidi...