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What's really at stake when an investor lends money at a particular rate of interest is what the rate of inflation will be over the same period of time as the life of the bond. If the investor believes credit growth is drying up and will be very low, then inflation is likely to be low, and i...
The unprecedented attack on Saudi Arabia’s Abqaiq crude oil processing facility, the largest in the world, is getting a lot of attention and rightly so. As the single worst supply disruption in the oil markets in history, one would expect a bit of press. There are a few aspects of the e...
With Donald Trump now tweeting for negative interest rates while the precious metals markets are already rallying, Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics joined me on the show to talk about how it all fits together. He discussed the latest Trump comments, how that might affect the rec...
Originally published September 9, 2019 In an environment with stable inflation, the yield curve should typically be inverted. Long term investors care about money when they retire, not next month. Most investors are long-term. If inflation is steady, long-term bonds are a safer way t...
There has been quite a lot of movement in yields since last month, so I thought it would be useful to look at an update. During the last half of June and July, the long end of the curve came down while the short end moved up a little bit. I wish we had an NGDP futures market to check these i...
Here are the monthly inflation updates. It will be interesting to see if the Fed treats 2% as a symmetrical target or a ceiling. There might be an argument for treating it as a ceiling at this point in the business cycle, because employment is so strong. But employment is a lagging indicator....
The first ten of Grant's Rules are "Preservation of Capital" reiterated ten times. The reason for my thinking here is that it is far easier, and more important, to keep your hard earned money rather than make new money. Here is what happens if a stock, or the overall market, declines. Speculat...
The recent chatter among interest rate observers is the chance of the United States Treasury note paying nothing, nada, zilch. My take is the consensus for once is right. One trusted interest rate observer is now preparing his bank for a 0% interest rate environment; CEO of JPMorgan Chase (JPM...
The most striking thing about last week's price action was the surge in US yields. The 10-year yield jumped about 34 basis points, the most in three years and returned to levels not seen since August 2 (1.90%). A deluge of investment-grade corporate bonds and US Treasuries ($78 bln auctioned...
The financial press, and many institutions and individuals, are highly concentrated on our "Game of Thrones" with China. Make no mistake here, the tariff skirmishes are just part of the overall battle, one part. There is much more going on here besides the wrangling about tariffs and consumpti...
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Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 29, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company") reports that Nevada County (the "County") has announced that its Board of Supervisors will hold its public hearing on the Company's Vested Rights Petition (the "Petition")...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 26, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the " Company ") announces that it intends to raise up to US$500,000 through the issuance of up to 2,500,000 units (each a " Unit ") at a price of US$0.20 per Unit (~CDN$0.26928 per Unit),...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 25, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company" or "Rise Gold") is pleased to report that Mr. Joseph Mullin has been appointed as President and CEO of Rise Gold and President of the Company's wholly owned operating subsidi...