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Ahead of Thursday’s September report on US consumer inflation, the Treasury market’s implied inflation forecast via 5-year maturities quietly ticked down to 1.24% in Wednesday’s trading (based on daily data via Treasury.gov). The crowd’s estimate of future pricing p...
The Phillips Curve It's a rather contentious idea because it seems obvious enough, yet many economists reject it as a useful management tool. The idea - the Phillips Curve - is that there's a tradeoff between unemployment and inflation. The lower we want inflation to be, the more unemploymen...
By Gerhardt (Gary) P. Herbert, CFA Last week, I explained how Federal Reserve (Fed) balance sheet expansion could send 10-year Treasury yields toward zero over the next few years. While that notion may seem far-fetched to some, my point was to highlight why quantitative easing isn't a pana...
RECESSION ANGST VS. RECESSION REALITIES Global growth have been at the center of investor worries, but in some geographies, this is currently more a function of anticipation than hard data. Looking into the fourth quarter of 2019, we would break the world into two groups. Europe and some m...
Every time the Fed implements 'quantitative easing,' a.k.a. printing more money, two things go up: taxes and inflation. When taxes and inflation go up, more jobs are lost. - Robert Kiyosaki The economy just went from a graceful swan to a sitting duck in a matter of a few months. In Sep...
How will central banks tackle the next downturn? We believe an unprecedented response is needed when monetary policy is exhausted and fiscal space is limited. That response could involve "going direct" - finding ways to get central bank money directly in the hands of public and private sector ...
By Gerhardt (Gary) P. Herbert, CFA Those of us of a certain age can remember watching Saturday afternoon black and white reruns of Laurel and Hardy films. Invariably, after a series of laughable misunderstandings and comic mistakes Hardy would lament to sidekick Laurel, "Well, here's anoth...
Repogeddon Breitbart and ZeroHedge have been shouting that the financial markets are in chaos, disaster looms, over the spike in repo rates. This isn't actually a serious problem whatever is being said. Sure, there's a reasonable argument that we'd prefer not to have repo rates of 10% ...
This is the fourth in a series of posts regarding the Fed's balance sheet and quantitative easing. Unlike the first three, I'm not going to do the graphs of the composition of the Fed's balance sheet that I did before, because I'm not sure it's relevant to the present argument. I want to quo...
Originally published September 30, 2019 Chinese Renminbi struggles forward in slow micro-steps. If the US dollar loses its hegemony as a global reserve currency, it would be a sea change globally, and specifically for the US economy. Today, we got the next installment in that saga, via...
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Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 29, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company") reports that Nevada County (the "County") has announced that its Board of Supervisors will hold its public hearing on the Company's Vested Rights Petition (the "Petition")...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 26, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the " Company ") announces that it intends to raise up to US$500,000 through the issuance of up to 2,500,000 units (each a " Unit ") at a price of US$0.20 per Unit (~CDN$0.26928 per Unit),...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 25, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company" or "Rise Gold") is pleased to report that Mr. Joseph Mullin has been appointed as President and CEO of Rise Gold and President of the Company's wholly owned operating subsidi...