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We now have $16.9 trillion of negative yielding debt bouncing around the world. China has joined the crowd and just sold negative yielding debt in Europe. Virtually everyone supposes that this type of magic will not take place in the United States. For further details see: ...
Amid all the confusion and commotion in the markets, the main story is simple. This is a world basking in the glory of reflation and accelerating nominal GDP growth. Higher long-term interest rates and a sustained rotation from growth to cyclical and value stocks. For furthe...
The impact on non-agency CMBS defaults, using our Yield Book model to simulate the impact of commercial real estate price declines of 20%, 30% and 40%, over the next year. We find a 40% CRE price decline gives CMBS losses close to the levels seen for 2007/08 loan vintages after the GF...
I think all investors are feeling right now: Can we just get back to market fundamentals? You know, no politics, just looking at the economic data, the Fed, rates - all that wonderfully boring stuff. We still see the path of least resistance being a steeper yield curve, with credi...
Alan Cole is a senior economist at the Joint Economic Committee of Congress and joins Macro Musings to discuss his thoughts on the economy. Specifically, the high savings rate during COVID-19, the track record of US monetary policy from the 2008 financial crisis to the 2020 COVID cris...
Global equity markets rallied on Monday after major networks declared Joe Biden the winner of the US presidential election, and early analysis of a COVID-19 vaccine from a large US drugmaker showed promising results. Our Head of Equities Stephen Dover joined Brooks Ritchey of K2 Advis...
General elections and news of very promising progress on a COVID-19 vaccine could have big implications for the US economic outlook. To understand the ramifications, we have to distinguish near term from longer term. The benchmarks that we need to follow in the next few weeks are ...
The S&P 500 rose 7% this week, the Nasdaq Composite rose 9%. The S&P 500 is still below its all-time high of 3,588 and the Nasdaq is still below its all-time-high of 12,074, both printed in early September '20. The "EMs" as emerging markets are called, have been dormant fo...
A Democratic victory without Senate control is for now reinforcing existing market trends such as the hunt for yield and growth stocks. A resurgence of Covid-19 cases has led to new national lockdowns in Europe, threatening to weigh on mobility and activity in the near term. Data ...
The prospects for a major fiscal stimulus package have decreased, but other supportive factors remain in place. As we wait for the votes to be counted, and perhaps recounted, in some key states, we've gotten some questions about the potential for a divided government and what it could...
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Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 29, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company") reports that Nevada County (the "County") has announced that its Board of Supervisors will hold its public hearing on the Company's Vested Rights Petition (the "Petition")...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 26, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the " Company ") announces that it intends to raise up to US$500,000 through the issuance of up to 2,500,000 units (each a " Unit ") at a price of US$0.20 per Unit (~CDN$0.26928 per Unit),...
Grass Valley, California--(Newsfile Corp. - September 25, 2023) - Rise Gold Corp. (CSE: RISE) (OTCQX: RYES) (the "Company" or "Rise Gold") is pleased to report that Mr. Joseph Mullin has been appointed as President and CEO of Rise Gold and President of the Company's wholly owned operating subsidi...