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The magnitude of the war’s impact on growth and inflation will be determined by how much and for how long energy prices rise. The war, economic sanctions and the associated rise in energy costs are likely to exacerbate global shipping impediments, too, which had begun to recove...
Grain market participants are used to unpredictability and risk, but 2022 has brought to the forefront a confluence of risks few have seen. The war in Ukraine has added a deeper dimension to global food worries. Known as the breadbasket of Europe, the region is responsible for 25% of ...
Even before the war began, supply chain frictions had only improved marginally from the Covid-19 pandemic. Now, expect even longer-lasting disruptions, a new round of delays, and protracted supply shortages. No economic sector can escape the surge in energy prices. For furth...
Commodities exposure, designed carefully, can provide effective inflation defense and portfolio diversification. After nearly a decade of struggles and underinvestment, the supportive infrastructure and supply for many commodities have become strained. Commodities don’t all...
What really intrigues us right now is the relationship between the prices of corn and gasoline and what it could be telling us about the future. Most automobile gasoline sold in the US is a 10% ethanol mix. This means a lot of corn is mixed into gasoline. It’s part of the reaso...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine on 24 February has fundamentally changed the geopolitical landscape - with economic consequences. While the 2022 global growth rate represents a slowdown from 5.8% in 2021, the world economy has sufficient resilience to avert a recession. While Russia ...
Over the past 20 years, Prospective Plantings has published an intended acreage for corn that differs from observed acreage by 1.28 million acres on average. The 2021 report surprised the industry by reporting intended acreage of corn and soybeans below expectations. The report no...
Based on new hopes for a peaceful Ukrainian/Russian resolution to their nearly month-long war, the world is cautiously optimistic. Although China has been trying to help Russia avoid economic sanctions, China is struggling with its own debt problems from Evergrande, slowing economic g...
The conflict in Ukraine has already led nations to reassess their energy security, but with two of the world's biggest grain exporters at war, food security is also making waves. The Hungarian government now has the option to buy any grain destined for export, while Moldova and Serbia have re...
To understand the market effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, we need to start with an assessment of the two countries, and their places in the global political, economic and market landscape, leading in. In this crisis, the conventional wisdom has held, at least so far, with matur...
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Supply disruptions due to the Russia-Ukraine war and renewed COVID-19 lockdowns have led to rising agricultural commodities prices. But because domestic producers are expected to capitalize on growing demand and rising prices, investing in ETFs that offer substantial exposure to agricultural ...