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Equity markets have clearly taken notice of rising inflation - and not in a good way. Conventional wisdom has traditionally said different things about how equities and bonds should behave in an inflationary environment - some hold to the notion that stocks should be protected from hi...
April Non-OPEC production decreased by 1,294 kb/d to 48,925 kb/d. Of the 1,294 kb/d decrease, the biggest decreases came from Russia, 965 kb/d, Kazakhstan, 175 kb/d, Canada, 95 kb/d and Norway, 78 kb/d. Mexico’s production as reported by the EIA for April dropped by 18 kb/d to ...
Copper fell out of bed in the late spring and early summer, losing a third of its value. Crude oil has been just as weak as copper lately, trading in a well-defined downtrend and breaking below its 200-DMA in early August. The S&P 500, again, is facing some resistance at its 2...
The energy sector led during the month of July, providing almost all of the positive performance due to a strong rally in natural gas prices. The heat wave from late June into early July in the lower Midwest U.S. killed cattle, quickly reducing supply. However, both cattle and hogs ra...
Events are driving above-average swings in an already-volatile crude market. On days when OPEC meets, the average price move for WTI Crude was $4.16, 1.4x the average. Daily volatility in crude oil futures prices remains elevated. Between March and mid-August, the daily price chan...
A few weeks ago, drivers’ demand for gasoline dipped below pandemic levels and is over one million barrels below normal pre-Covid levels. Consumer sentiment is so low, and budgets are so constrained by inflation, that people are taking fewer trips, going to fewer restaurants, a...
Long-term investors need to have a strategy they can stick with no matter what happens, a strategy that keeps them on an even keel. Investing is hard and determining your risk tolerance is far from an exact science. There are a lot of people these days who seem to want the market ...
The Russian war in Ukraine has had a massive impact on the European energy market, a result of which is runaway inflation across the continent. Nigeria’s substantial resource wealth and geographic proximity to Europe make it a very attractive partner for meeting the continent...
The COVID-19 pandemic and its associated impact on economic growth have triggered a prolonged period of oil price volatility. While China is by far the largest importer of Oman crude, accounting for 86% of its exports, according to its Statistical Year Book 2021, all of Oman’s ...
A conservative model of future World Crude plus Condensate (C+C) output is presented in this article. My model projects continued 1.2% average annual growth in C+C output from 2022 to 2029 when the final peak in output is projected. The annual rate of decline gradually increases t...