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With oil prices spiking and investors avoiding volatile names, only a few themes have worked: energy and defensive stocks. With economic growth likely to slow and earnings growth harder to come by, companies able to grow earnings should garner renewed interest. To the extent reces...
During the last Fed rate raising cycle, it took the Federal Reserve five years to raise the fed funds rate to 2.50%. The Fed kept rates far too low for far too long and now we are dealing with the consequences. Both fiscal and monetary policy have been highly inflationary, and we are ...
U.S. February production decreased by a surprising 50 kb/d to 11,312 kb/d. GOM production took a sharp drop in December 2021 and continued to February. The number of DUCs available for completion has continued to fall every month since July 2020. For further details see: ...
The major markets’ technical review will help readers understand the underlying technical conditions for potential opportunities and risk management. This helps refine not only decision making about what to own and when but what to overweight or underweight to achieve better pe...
It’s been a monster year for crude oil and it continued in April. For the month, WTI rallied 4.4% and finished the month at $104.7 per barrel. Most notable about April’s rally was that it marked the fifth consecutive month in which WTI rallied, which is tied for the seco...
The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...
The Fed has little control over today’s goods inflation, driven by supply-chain, COVID stimulus, and war. Every time the Fed has increased rates to fight inflation historically, unemployment has increased. Recent events have put an even greater spotlight on energy independe...
Coal and gas markets are expected to remain tight in the near term, continuing to pressure power prices. The Ukraine crisis has brought energy security to the fore, in addition to putting renewed focus on cybersecurity. In the United States, hundreds of gigawatts of renewables cap...
World Conventional Oil output peaked at a centered twelve-month average (CTMA) of 74193 kb/d in July 2016. The general trend for non-OPEC conventional oil has been an annual decline rate of about 48 kb/d over this period, and for OPEC, output has increased at an annual rate of 171 kb/...
The Shanghai Composite Index plunged 5.1% to 2,928, the biggest one-day drop since February 2020, during the Wuhan crisis. Investors were already worried about slowing consumer demand in China amid the resurgence of Covid and the resurgence of the lockdowns. Construction has been ...