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The SWIFT ban applies to about 70% of Russia’s banking activities. Notably, oil and natural gas payments are excluded. Russia is a major supplier of base metals to Europe, and these have seen price rises to levels not seen in a decade. Plus, the rise in natural gas prices will ...
Russia imports large amounts of consumer goods, from cars and consumer electronics to food, and a ruble collapse guarantees a massive spike in consumer price inflation for people who earn their living in rubles. A major disruption of Russia’s exports of crude oil, natural gas, ...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine represented a particularly challenging situation for financial markets last week, after they had already weakened on anxieties about high inflation and rising interest rates. When it comes to commodities, however, Russia is a major supplier: Raw mat...
Prices of key metals have surged in recent weeks, turbo-charged above previous gains earned on the back of power shortages, energy costs and Chinese environmental restrictions. Aluminium and nickel prices in particular, have reached multi-year highs on fears sanctions will result in a...
The peak of central bank tightening expectations has likely passed. Major economies will continue to experience positive growth. Biggest sectoral impacts will likely be in commodity markets. For further details see: Russia's Invasion: 3 Implications For Fixed Income
Events have moved quickly since our update on February 22. It’s unclear whether this is the shock and awe phase of a limited incursion or the beginning of a full-scale invasion that seeks regime change in Kyiv. USD/RUB touched 90 overnight before fading back to the mid-80s ...
Global markets tumble on Russian attack on Ukraine. Russian inflation stokes stagflation fears. Commodities the big winner in Russian attack. For further details see: Markets Sell Off As Russia Attacks Ukraine: What's At Stake For Investors?
Electric vehicle sales in China and the U.S. saw triple-digit growth in 2021, placing higher demands on cobalt and lithium production. Cobalt and lithium futures prices have more than doubled since launching in December 2020 and May 2021, respectively. As shown by their price perf...
Bark Melek: Any negative news on the supply side could push crude prices to US$100 per barrel. Melek: Our projections now are that ex-OPEC production will likely increase. Melek: Commodities like copper and aluminum are already in a tight supply configuration. For further de...
Russia's recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics (DLPR) has sparked global outrage and triggered the first tranche of sanctions. Although Russian markets are closed for a public holiday, offshore trading shows a continued sell-off in Russian USD debt. We take a l...