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Largely tied to the fate of the US dollar, the underperformance of emerging markets relative to their developed counterparts may finally be ending. A rising US dollar causes the domestic currency of emerging economies to fall and inflation to rise amid weaker economic growth. On a...
Among the most notable economic responses to the COVID-19 pandemic has been the turnaround in capital flows to emerging markets. A sudden reversal in portfolio flows of over $100 billion to these countries in March has been offset by a surge of capital this fall. But many of these...
As investors digest the latest developments and potential implications from the coronavirus, leading emerging markets have demonstrated resilience in the face of uncertainty. The very nature of emerging markets has moved away from an old-economy model that relies on materials, energy ...
There is currently a convergence of views that, gradually or not, US current account deficits and insufficient domestic savings tend to slide down the relative value of the dollar. Four “channels of dollar transmission” explain why there is a negative correlation between...
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the COVID crisis will deepen advanced economies' budget deficits by 11% of GDP (gross domestic product) in 2020, but by just 6% in emerging markets. As 2021 starts, government debt is expected to rise to 125% of GDP in advanced econo...
The year looks like it's ending on an optimistic note as emerging markets are holding strong overall. Positive COVID-19 vaccine development data and increased clarity on US election results fueled investors' risk appetite globally. Emerging Asian equities advanced. For furth...
Better treatment protocols and better understanding of how to prevent the spread of COVID-19 mean that lockdowns and the associated collapse in growth are unlikely in the near future. As mentioned earlier, EM has been held back by COVID-19, limited policy flexibility and weak capital ...
Near-zero yields are entrenched across the developed world. Fine-tuning around the edges of portfolio construction, or holding out in hope of eventual yield normalization is no longer a viable strategy to meet return targets. Investors searching for more attractive yields are incr...
We have upgraded emerging market debt on a tactical basis as positive vaccine developments bolster the case for an accelerated global restart in 2021. Global stocks hit record highs as the transition of power officially started in the U.S. The rally fizzled on the virus resurgence and...
EM equities have underperformed their developed market peers in the last few years, but things are likely to change in the months ahead. There is a valuation gap between developed market equities and emerging market equities, and more importantly, there are catalysts that will help br...
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2024-04-24 07:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 09:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-04 19:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...