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Because past hiking cycles differ in length, speed, and the context in which the tightening took place, we investigate the key differences as well as similarities that are likely to be important drivers of performance. Based on the three previous rate-hiking cycles, we believe there i...
Equities would suffer if rate hikes trigger a growth downturn. Europe has the opportunity to create a more sustainable and more resilient version of itself – replacing high dependencies on Russian energy and shedding the image of an “old” economy by accelerating t...
An investment in Nigeria or Turkey clearly exposes a firm or investor to more risks than an otherwise similar investment in Germany or Canada, but why? While country risk has so many dimensions to it, there is correlation across the many dimensions, with corruption, poor legal protect...
Last quarter, the Asset Allocation Committee adopted an underweight view on global equities and leaned more heavily into cash, commodities and other alternative, diversifying assets. The Committee’s views on real and alternative assets are unchanged this quarter. The Asset ...
In several emerging markets, rates at the shorter end of the curve are trading at the highest levels in 20 years. Several emerging market central banks have tightened policy rates significantly earlier and substantially more than their developed market counterparts. While most eme...
Though history is often a good guide, it's important to recognize that markets can - and have - changed. If Value stocks are extremely cheap versus the market, it is necessarily the case that Growth stocks are very expensive. The goal of the backtest was to ensure that despite its...
Gold had a strong start to the year, moving to its monthly high of $1,959 per ounce on January 6. Reddit/WallStreetBets is the first black swan phenomenon since the COVID crash. Weighing the pros and cons, we believe history provides the best guide. For further details see: ...
I think we're not alone in being quite amazed by the resilience that the US market has shown following the very violent selloff in February and March. One of our big themes, digital innovation, continues to lead, transforming what I would call the more traditional or, sort of, classic...
Emerging Asian equities outpaced broader EMs in January. East Asian markets were largely buoyant. In many EMs, a central new reality is the rise of domestic demand as a driver of growth. Often overlooked, we believe that the frontier markets (FMs) asset class continues to exhibit ...
As we enter 2021, the macroeconomic backdrop for emerging markets is extremely promising. We believe the key long-term trend driving emerging markets is their transition from export-led growth to reliance on buoyant domestic demand. We see significant opportunities with global gro...
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2024-04-24 07:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 09:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-04 19:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...