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Summary Amazon’s global exposure is also being hit by macroeconomic issues as rising inflation continues to diminish the consumer’s purchasing power. The much-anticipated “Lord of the Rings” series did help subscription revenue rise to a new high in dol...
Summary Mondelez International, the maker of Sour Patch and Cadbury chocolate, is on track to post stronger revenue than in the previous three years. Similarly, Hershey is on track to post stronger revenue compared to its pandemic and pre-pandemic levels. In collaboration with...
Summary The mismatch between supply and demand within the retail space has reversed in advance of this year’s holiday shopping season. Higher prices that retailers have successfully implemented since the pandemic are not going to reverse entirely. Higher inventory level...
Summary We forecast Halloween candy prices to be up 14% over last year. Purchases of candy (i.e. volumes) have been trending lower since last October, partly in response to rapidly rising prices. Total spending on Halloween candy, at $3.2 billion, is expected to be only 1% abo...
Summary Consumer stocks have steadily outperformed the broad market in the last five months. Home Depot features a low valuation relative to its history, perhaps driven my enhanced macro uncertainty for 2023. The options market suggests a modest post-earnings stock price move ...
Summary Inflation has reached peak recently, and the retail sector cannot hide from its side effects. RTH is an ETF that invests in a limited number of retail stocks based in large part on their market capitalization. Given the market cap dominance of 4 major retailers, they c...
Summary RTH has corrected by 18% this year, but its valuations still look pricey given the earnings potential on offer. The outlook for the retail sector does not look too buoyant. Negative earnings revisions could be a dominant theme going forward. Know the diff...
Summary PPI and CPI numbers came out last week, and both were higher than expected. Fed officials are concerned about the persistence of high inflation, and a 0.75% key interest rate hike at the November FOMC meeting is virtually certain. Worldwide demand for crude oil naturally r...
Summary E-commerce valuations ebbed as cooped-up consumers craved real-world experiences - but a closer look at the data suggests online shopping is unlikely to retreat. Since the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, e-commerce’s share of total retail sales has fallen to 14.5% ...
Summary Balancing inventory supply and demand is simple in theory, but difficult to execute. Retailers misestimated categories of demand and logistics issues, leading to more late arrivals. The winners will be consumers who take advantage of heavy promotional activity. ...
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2024-07-14 06:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 20:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 02:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...