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The fundamentals for lumber, like a lot of commodities, had been favorable. Supply bottlenecks and persisting pandemic plight would limit how much production could make it to market, inelasticity taken for granted as somewhat permanent/durable, thereby constantly susceptible to what other...
The investment marketing world urges that every day is a valuable buying opportunity and fear of missing out is a formidable bait. After a decade of ‘easy money’ policies aimed at inflating asset prices at all costs, mean reversion is a much-needed value-restoration forc...
If you are an investor and sell every time your perception of uncertainty rises, you will avoid risk, but you will also miss opportunities. Our heightened state of awareness about uncertainty has us focused on the negative outcomes, assuming the worst-case scenarios will be realized. ...
Periods of low volume and relatively small moves are normally comforting and allow us to avoid making decisions. My biggest concern is that I may not see enough that is important and draw the wrong conclusions. I am increasingly concerned that several others, including some well-known...
Central banks have primed markets to expect too many rate hikes in the face of persistent inflation, in our view. This keeps us neutral on stocks in the short run. The U.S. added 390, 000 jobs in May - a number that was matched by new entrants to the labor force. This shows the labor ...
If anything can stop the Fed from tightening and drawing the market lower, it is the unemployment figures. They are also purposely targeting asset prices. Bringing stock prices down is all about a tighter monetary policy at the Fed. This bear market rally could head higher than yo...
May 2022’s payroll estimates weren’t quite the level of downshift President Phillips had warned about, though that’s increasingly likely just a matter of time. As expected, the latest HH employment estimate for May rebounded, though not enough to offset last month...
Stocks closed only slightly down last week, and volatility dropped modestly. The latest disruption to hit the stock market will be the Federal Reserve's effort to reduce the size of its securities portfolio over the next three years. Furthermore, the strength of the U.S. Dollar in...
Breaking from the past, the ECB is expected to signal its intent to hike rates at next month's meeting. The day after the FOMC meeting in May ended, the swaps market priced in a terminal Fed funds rate of 3.75%. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on June 7. For further deta...
2022 has been a year unlike many investors have seen in their investing lifetimes. There is considerable technical evidence that U.S. financial markets are in a “bear market.”. While the market sits on critical support, any failure will confirm a recession, and a bea...
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2024-06-14 11:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-23 21:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 21:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...