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We consider an 'all or nothing day' to be a day where the net daily breadth reading (daily advancing stocks minus declining stocks) for the S&P 500 is above +400 or below -400. While these types of days were practically non-existent in the 1990s, beginning in the early 2000s, their frequen...
Over the past week or so we have seen an unusual number of macro-focused articles claiming to know what will happen to the broad stock market next. Some say the worst is yet to come or that another massive decline is coming. Others tell you we are set up for a continued market melt-up. The p...
By Jeff Shen The global coronavirus pandemic is testing all aspects of everyday life. Jeff Shen discusses how his team are using human and machine-mined insights to assess the landscape and look ahead. These are unusual times, to say the least. Few in the financial industry have seen a...
In the old legend the wise men finally boiled down the history of mortal affairs into a single phrase: This too will pass. – Benjamin Graham In The Lead-Lag Report, I mentioned last week that if it wasn’t apparent that we were in a recession then, it would be by the time th...
They call ’em “Fallen Angels.” They’re bonds that the credit agencies demote from investment grade to high yield. Unfortunately, there’s nothing angelic about a wave of downgrades happening all at once. And that’s what transpires in recessions. F...
Gloom and doom are lurking in the shadows of the Eccles Building. It should be made clear that this writer hopes that there will not be a recession or worse yet even a depression. Before continuing, it may be useful to give a economics )#Definition">description of a depression : "Depressio...
The pending economic recovery may not go as planned as millions of people have lost their jobs in recent weeks, and the impact of coronavirus continues to linger. The psychological toll the virus is likely to play cannot be understated and may play a significant effect on just how the economic...
Hope is what makes life bearable sometimes. In the face of mounting human tragedy, due to the coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic, the stock market is surging. May hope spring eternal. With little reason to buy most stocks or the S&P 500 ETFs ( SPY ) ( VOO ) many investors are doing so ...
Dear client or friend of Vailshire Partners LP, Greetings from Colorado Springs! It is not an exaggeration to say that the world and the economy have changed dramatically since my last quarterly memo. The State of the Economy The coronavirus and the disease it causes, COVID-19, nee...
On Sunday, Argentina's government announced it was postponing payment on any domestically-issued debt instruments denominated in foreign currencies. That means dollars, just not Eurobonds. At least not yet. In response, ratings agencies such as Fitch declared the maneuver a distressed debt exc...
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Actively managed funds designed to provide investors and advisors with differentiated tools for accessing income-generating investments. Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions designed to meet the needs of in...
Actively managed fund is designed to provide investors and advisors with a value-focused, differentiated tool for accessing income-generating small cap equity exposure Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions d...